Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor

The multifactor approach helps determine the linear connection between a diversified portfolio’s return and risk; however, the efficacy of the model models is still limited in the experiment. Algorithms in machine learning have recently grown in popularity to compensate for some of the shortcomings...

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Main Authors: Bui Thanh Khoa, Tran Trong Huynh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3936122
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author Bui Thanh Khoa
Tran Trong Huynh
author_facet Bui Thanh Khoa
Tran Trong Huynh
author_sort Bui Thanh Khoa
collection DOAJ
description The multifactor approach helps determine the linear connection between a diversified portfolio’s return and risk; however, the efficacy of the model models is still limited in the experiment. Algorithms in machine learning have recently grown in popularity to compensate for some of the shortcomings of theoretical models. This study applied a machine learning technique to compare the performance of the Fama-French 5-factor model (FF5). Two approaches are employed in the Fama-French model: Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (LSTM-RNN) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). From January 1, 2010, through March 3, 2022, the stock market in Ho Chi Minh City was experimentally researched. The rolling window approach is used in combination with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the results of the FF5 model with the LSTM-RNN algorithm are more efficient in prediction error than the MLE methodology. This contribution encourages investors and hedge fund managers to use the LSTM-RNN algorithm to boost forecasting efficiency.
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spelling doaj-art-fd1142fb872e4b5ebdffbfb61fbe949d2025-02-03T07:24:27ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1607-887X2022-01-01202210.1155/2022/3936122Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 FactorBui Thanh Khoa0Tran Trong Huynh1FinanceFPT UniversityThe multifactor approach helps determine the linear connection between a diversified portfolio’s return and risk; however, the efficacy of the model models is still limited in the experiment. Algorithms in machine learning have recently grown in popularity to compensate for some of the shortcomings of theoretical models. This study applied a machine learning technique to compare the performance of the Fama-French 5-factor model (FF5). Two approaches are employed in the Fama-French model: Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (LSTM-RNN) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). From January 1, 2010, through March 3, 2022, the stock market in Ho Chi Minh City was experimentally researched. The rolling window approach is used in combination with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the results of the FF5 model with the LSTM-RNN algorithm are more efficient in prediction error than the MLE methodology. This contribution encourages investors and hedge fund managers to use the LSTM-RNN algorithm to boost forecasting efficiency.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3936122
spellingShingle Bui Thanh Khoa
Tran Trong Huynh
Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
title_full Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
title_fullStr Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
title_full_unstemmed Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
title_short Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network for Predicting the Return of Rate Underframe the Fama-French 5 Factor
title_sort long short term memory recurrent neural network for predicting the return of rate underframe the fama french 5 factor
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3936122
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AT trantronghuynh longshorttermmemoryrecurrentneuralnetworkforpredictingthereturnofrateunderframethefamafrench5factor