Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for any τ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when R0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we pro...

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Main Authors: Yakui Xue, Tiantian Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/916130
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author Yakui Xue
Tiantian Li
author_facet Yakui Xue
Tiantian Li
author_sort Yakui Xue
collection DOAJ
description We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for any τ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when R0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for any τ=0; when R0>1, the disease will persist. However, for any τ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1085-3375
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language English
publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-f596e98393094b1bbff5ccc563f858b02025-02-03T01:11:19ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092013-01-01201310.1155/2013/916130916130Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic GrowthYakui Xue0Tiantian Li1Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, ChinaDepartment of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, ChinaWe study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for any τ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when R0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for any τ=0; when R0>1, the disease will persist. However, for any τ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/916130
spellingShingle Yakui Xue
Tiantian Li
Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
title_full Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
title_fullStr Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
title_full_unstemmed Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
title_short Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth
title_sort stability and hopf bifurcation for a delayed sir epidemic model with logistic growth
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/916130
work_keys_str_mv AT yakuixue stabilityandhopfbifurcationforadelayedsirepidemicmodelwithlogisticgrowth
AT tiantianli stabilityandhopfbifurcationforadelayedsirepidemicmodelwithlogisticgrowth