Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather

To help related operators to allocate and dispatch the number of bike-sharing and provide good guidance for setting up electronic fences, this paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph convolution network prediction model (SGCNPM) with multiple factors to enhance the accuracy of predicting the demand fo...

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Main Authors: Yang Yang, Xin Shao, Yuting Zhu, Enjian Yao, Dongmei Liu, Feng Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7407748
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author Yang Yang
Xin Shao
Yuting Zhu
Enjian Yao
Dongmei Liu
Feng Zhao
author_facet Yang Yang
Xin Shao
Yuting Zhu
Enjian Yao
Dongmei Liu
Feng Zhao
author_sort Yang Yang
collection DOAJ
description To help related operators to allocate and dispatch the number of bike-sharing and provide good guidance for setting up electronic fences, this paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph convolution network prediction model (SGCNPM) with multiple factors to enhance the accuracy of predicting the demand for bike-sharing. First, we consider time, built environment, and weather. We use a multigraph convolution network (GCN) to model the built environment, utilize a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to extract temporal features, and utilize a fully connected network (FCN) to model weather influence. We construct SGCNPM which can effectively fuse GCN, LSTM, and FCN, thus creating a prediction method considering the influence of multiple factors. The results of the real case in Tianjin, China, show that the proposed model can perform well in improving prediction accuracy. Also, we analyze the influence of factors on model prediction results in different periods.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-f553f72a44ec4434a5c06f34ad3f79f32025-02-03T06:05:04ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952023-01-01202310.1155/2023/7407748Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and WeatherYang Yang0Xin Shao1Yuting Zhu2Enjian Yao3Dongmei Liu4Feng Zhao5Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive TransportKey Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive TransportSchool of E-Business and LogisticsKey Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive TransportResearch and Development Center of Transport Industry of Big Data Processing Technologies and Application for RIOH High Science and Technology GroupTianjin Intelligent Traffic Operation Monitoring CenterTo help related operators to allocate and dispatch the number of bike-sharing and provide good guidance for setting up electronic fences, this paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph convolution network prediction model (SGCNPM) with multiple factors to enhance the accuracy of predicting the demand for bike-sharing. First, we consider time, built environment, and weather. We use a multigraph convolution network (GCN) to model the built environment, utilize a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to extract temporal features, and utilize a fully connected network (FCN) to model weather influence. We construct SGCNPM which can effectively fuse GCN, LSTM, and FCN, thus creating a prediction method considering the influence of multiple factors. The results of the real case in Tianjin, China, show that the proposed model can perform well in improving prediction accuracy. Also, we analyze the influence of factors on model prediction results in different periods.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7407748
spellingShingle Yang Yang
Xin Shao
Yuting Zhu
Enjian Yao
Dongmei Liu
Feng Zhao
Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
title_full Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
title_fullStr Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
title_short Short-Term Forecasting of Dockless Bike-Sharing Demand with the Built Environment and Weather
title_sort short term forecasting of dockless bike sharing demand with the built environment and weather
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7407748
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