A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast

We introduce a novel “mathematical pathology” approach, founded on a biophysical model, to identify robust patient-specific predictors of tumor growth useful in clinical practice to improve the accuracy of diagnosis/prognosis and intervention. In accordance with biological observations, our model si...

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Main Authors: Mary E. Edgerton, Yao-Li Chuang, Paul Macklin, Wei Yang, Elaine L. Bearer, Vittorio Cristini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2011-01-01
Series:Analytical Cellular Pathology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/ACP-2011-0019
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author Mary E. Edgerton
Yao-Li Chuang
Paul Macklin
Wei Yang
Elaine L. Bearer
Vittorio Cristini
author_facet Mary E. Edgerton
Yao-Li Chuang
Paul Macklin
Wei Yang
Elaine L. Bearer
Vittorio Cristini
author_sort Mary E. Edgerton
collection DOAJ
description We introduce a novel “mathematical pathology” approach, founded on a biophysical model, to identify robust patient-specific predictors of tumor growth useful in clinical practice to improve the accuracy of diagnosis/prognosis and intervention. In accordance with biological observations, our model simulates the diffusion-limited in situ tumors with a relatively short phase of fast initial growth, followed by a prolonged slow-growth phase where tumor size is constrained primarily by the relative weight of cell mitosis and death. The former phase may only last for a few months, so that at the time of diagnosis, we may assume that most tumors will have entered the phase where their size is changing slowly. Based on this prediction, we hypothesize that the volume of breast with ducts affected by in situ tumors at the time of diagnosis will be closely approximated by a model-derived mathematical function based on the ratio of tumor cell proliferation-to-apoptosis indices and on the extent of diffusion of cell nutrients (diffusion penetration length), which can be measured from immunohistochemical and morphometric analysis of patient histopathology specimens without the need for multiple-time measurements. We tested this idea in a retrospective study of 17 patients by staining breast tumor specimens containing ductal carcinoma in situ for mitosis with Ki-67 and for apoptosis with cleaved caspase-3 and counting cells positive for each marker. We also determined diffusion penetration by measuring the thickness of viable rims of tumor cells within ducts. Using the ensuing ratios, we applied the model to determine a predicted surgical volume or tumor size. We then corroborated our hypothesis by comparing the predicted size of each tumor based on our model with the actual size of the pathological specimen after tumor excision (R2 = 0.74—0.88). In addition, for the 17 cases studied, both histological grade and mammography were not found to correlate with tumor size (R2 = 0.08—0.47). We conclude that our mathematical pathology approach yields a high degree of accuracy in predicting the size of tumors based on the mitotic/apoptotic index and on diffusion penetration. By obtaining these ratios at the time of initial biopsy, pathologists can employ our model to predict the size of the tumor and thereby inform surgeons how much tissue to remove (surgical volume). We discuss how results from the model have implications concerning the current debate on recommendations for screening mammography, while the model itself may contribute to better planning of breast conservation surgery.
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spelling doaj-art-f51a9d31d03a404ca68380adeb9cc3852025-02-03T05:44:37ZengWileyAnalytical Cellular Pathology2210-71772210-71852011-01-0134524726310.3233/ACP-2011-0019A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The BreastMary E. Edgerton0Yao-Li Chuang1Paul Macklin2Wei Yang3Elaine L. Bearer4Vittorio Cristini5Department of Pathology, UT MD Anderson Cancer Center, and School of Biomedical Informatics, University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USADepartment of Pathology, Department of Mathematics, The University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USASchool of Biomedical Informatics, University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USADepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, UT MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USADepartment of Pathology, The University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USASchool of Biomedical Informatics, University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, TX, USAWe introduce a novel “mathematical pathology” approach, founded on a biophysical model, to identify robust patient-specific predictors of tumor growth useful in clinical practice to improve the accuracy of diagnosis/prognosis and intervention. In accordance with biological observations, our model simulates the diffusion-limited in situ tumors with a relatively short phase of fast initial growth, followed by a prolonged slow-growth phase where tumor size is constrained primarily by the relative weight of cell mitosis and death. The former phase may only last for a few months, so that at the time of diagnosis, we may assume that most tumors will have entered the phase where their size is changing slowly. Based on this prediction, we hypothesize that the volume of breast with ducts affected by in situ tumors at the time of diagnosis will be closely approximated by a model-derived mathematical function based on the ratio of tumor cell proliferation-to-apoptosis indices and on the extent of diffusion of cell nutrients (diffusion penetration length), which can be measured from immunohistochemical and morphometric analysis of patient histopathology specimens without the need for multiple-time measurements. We tested this idea in a retrospective study of 17 patients by staining breast tumor specimens containing ductal carcinoma in situ for mitosis with Ki-67 and for apoptosis with cleaved caspase-3 and counting cells positive for each marker. We also determined diffusion penetration by measuring the thickness of viable rims of tumor cells within ducts. Using the ensuing ratios, we applied the model to determine a predicted surgical volume or tumor size. We then corroborated our hypothesis by comparing the predicted size of each tumor based on our model with the actual size of the pathological specimen after tumor excision (R2 = 0.74—0.88). In addition, for the 17 cases studied, both histological grade and mammography were not found to correlate with tumor size (R2 = 0.08—0.47). We conclude that our mathematical pathology approach yields a high degree of accuracy in predicting the size of tumors based on the mitotic/apoptotic index and on diffusion penetration. By obtaining these ratios at the time of initial biopsy, pathologists can employ our model to predict the size of the tumor and thereby inform surgeons how much tissue to remove (surgical volume). We discuss how results from the model have implications concerning the current debate on recommendations for screening mammography, while the model itself may contribute to better planning of breast conservation surgery.http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/ACP-2011-0019
spellingShingle Mary E. Edgerton
Yao-Li Chuang
Paul Macklin
Wei Yang
Elaine L. Bearer
Vittorio Cristini
A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
Analytical Cellular Pathology
title A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
title_full A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
title_fullStr A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
title_full_unstemmed A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
title_short A Novel, Patient-Specific Mathematical Pathology Approach for Assessment of Surgical Volume: Application to Ductal Carcinoma in situ of The Breast
title_sort novel patient specific mathematical pathology approach for assessment of surgical volume application to ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast
url http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/ACP-2011-0019
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