The impact of industrial structural transformation in the Yangtze River economic belt on the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance

Promoting carbon balance in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is a crucial step in China’s pursuit of carbon neutrality, with industrial structural transformation serving as a vital pathway toward this goal. This paper employs the GeoShapley model and the spatial Durbin model to investigate the spatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ran Wu, Gang Yu, Yimo Cao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25000949
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Summary:Promoting carbon balance in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is a crucial step in China’s pursuit of carbon neutrality, with industrial structural transformation serving as a vital pathway toward this goal. This paper employs the GeoShapley model and the spatial Durbin model to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance in 1028 county-level units of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2021, as well as the impact of industrial structural transformation on these relationships. The results reveal the following: (1) the spatial distribution pattern of trade-off and synergy remained largely unchanged between 2011 and 2021, but there was an overall shift from synergy to trade-off. (2) In the overall regression results, the industrial greening index exhibits opposing effects on local regions and their surroundings, while the industrial upgrading index suppresses development in surrounding areas. (3) In the regional regression results, the industrial greening index shows contrasting effects on the downstream and upstream regions, with a suppressive effect on surrounding areas occurring only in the downstream region. The industrial upgrading index inhibits development in both the downstream and midstream regions, while the industrial rationalization index exerts a suppressive effect exclusively in the downstream region.
ISSN:1470-160X