Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model

IntroductionChina's environmental policies and the green transformation of its industries have attained paramount significance in the wake of intensifying climate change and soaring carbon emissions, critically shaping sustainable development at both national and international scales. As the ex...

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Main Authors: Peng Gao, Chao Qu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frevc.2025.1478861/full
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author Peng Gao
Chao Qu
author_facet Peng Gao
Chao Qu
author_sort Peng Gao
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionChina's environmental policies and the green transformation of its industries have attained paramount significance in the wake of intensifying climate change and soaring carbon emissions, critically shaping sustainable development at both national and international scales. As the exploration of the drivers and outcomes of this green revolution on carbon emissions gains traction as a focal point of research, this study endeavors to assess the effects and their underlying causes.MethodsUtilizing a systems thinking methodology, a dynamic spatial Durbin model was constructed, analyzing statistical data spanning from 2004 to 2021, encompassing 30 Chinese provinces.ResultsChina's green transformation significantly influences the spatial distribution patterns of carbon emissions across various regions.DiscussionEnvironmental Protection investment has been effective in curbing carbon emissions from local businesses, yet it may also prompt a relocation of these businesses to neighboring provinces, inadvertently elevating their carbon emissions. Green innovation and the adoption of green energy technologies have proven instrumental in reducing carbon emissions in a region, with positive spillover effects extending to nearby areas. The dynamic spatial Durbin model analysis further underscores the inertia of carbon emissions, indicating that achieving carbon reduction is a process requiring consistent and sustained efforts over the long term. The findings of this study offer valuable insights and recommendations for the government in devising and implementing green transformation policies that align with the dual-carbon target, aiming to achieve a greener and more sustainable future.
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spelling doaj-art-e69d2669f3d14531a38777d3d796a4f82025-02-05T08:08:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Economics2813-28232025-02-01410.3389/frevc.2025.14788611478861Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin modelPeng Gao0Chao Qu1School of Education, Shandong Vocational University of Foreign Affairs, Weihai, ChinaSchool of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, ChinaIntroductionChina's environmental policies and the green transformation of its industries have attained paramount significance in the wake of intensifying climate change and soaring carbon emissions, critically shaping sustainable development at both national and international scales. As the exploration of the drivers and outcomes of this green revolution on carbon emissions gains traction as a focal point of research, this study endeavors to assess the effects and their underlying causes.MethodsUtilizing a systems thinking methodology, a dynamic spatial Durbin model was constructed, analyzing statistical data spanning from 2004 to 2021, encompassing 30 Chinese provinces.ResultsChina's green transformation significantly influences the spatial distribution patterns of carbon emissions across various regions.DiscussionEnvironmental Protection investment has been effective in curbing carbon emissions from local businesses, yet it may also prompt a relocation of these businesses to neighboring provinces, inadvertently elevating their carbon emissions. Green innovation and the adoption of green energy technologies have proven instrumental in reducing carbon emissions in a region, with positive spillover effects extending to nearby areas. The dynamic spatial Durbin model analysis further underscores the inertia of carbon emissions, indicating that achieving carbon reduction is a process requiring consistent and sustained efforts over the long term. The findings of this study offer valuable insights and recommendations for the government in devising and implementing green transformation policies that align with the dual-carbon target, aiming to achieve a greener and more sustainable future.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frevc.2025.1478861/fullcarbon emissionsgreen transformationsystems thinkingdynamic spatialDurbin model
spellingShingle Peng Gao
Chao Qu
Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
Frontiers in Environmental Economics
carbon emissions
green transformation
systems thinking
dynamic spatial
Durbin model
title Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
title_full Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
title_fullStr Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
title_short Assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions: a dynamic spatial Durbin model
title_sort assessing the impact of green transformation on carbon emissions a dynamic spatial durbin model
topic carbon emissions
green transformation
systems thinking
dynamic spatial
Durbin model
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frevc.2025.1478861/full
work_keys_str_mv AT penggao assessingtheimpactofgreentransformationoncarbonemissionsadynamicspatialdurbinmodel
AT chaoqu assessingtheimpactofgreentransformationoncarbonemissionsadynamicspatialdurbinmodel