Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China

OpenStreetMap (OSM), an open, crowdsourced geographic information platform, holds significant potential in fields like urban planning and resource management. Currently, most research focuses primarily on data quality issues, without considering the evolution of OSM buildings. This paper employs the...

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Main Authors: Sidan Chen, Lingjia Liu, Kaixiang Li, Xiaohui Ding, Wei Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2459109
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author Sidan Chen
Lingjia Liu
Kaixiang Li
Xiaohui Ding
Wei Jiang
author_facet Sidan Chen
Lingjia Liu
Kaixiang Li
Xiaohui Ding
Wei Jiang
author_sort Sidan Chen
collection DOAJ
description OpenStreetMap (OSM), an open, crowdsourced geographic information platform, holds significant potential in fields like urban planning and resource management. Currently, most research focuses primarily on data quality issues, without considering the evolution of OSM buildings. This paper employs the Markov-FLUS model to simulate and predict the expansion of OSM building data in Shenzhen. OSM building data in 2015 and 2019 were used to simulate the distribution of OSM buildings in 2023, and the distribution and completeness of OSM buildings in 2027 were subsequently simulated. The results indicate that by 2027, the growth rates of OSM buildings in Luohu and Longhua districts in Shenzhen will exceed 40%, with other areas growing by over 25%. The overall completeness of OSM buildings is projected to reach 39.99%. The simulation results can be used to identify future expansion of OSM building data in Shenzhen and support the sustainable development of OSM in the city.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1010-6049
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language English
publishDate 2025-12-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
record_format Article
series Geocarto International
spelling doaj-art-e6874f9844e7480da19451e704ea038f2025-02-06T08:15:47ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622025-12-0140110.1080/10106049.2025.2459109Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, ChinaSidan Chen0Lingjia Liu1Kaixiang Li2Xiaohui Ding3Wei Jiang4School of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaSchool of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaSchool of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaSchool of Software and Internet of Things Engineering, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, ChinaChina Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, ChinaOpenStreetMap (OSM), an open, crowdsourced geographic information platform, holds significant potential in fields like urban planning and resource management. Currently, most research focuses primarily on data quality issues, without considering the evolution of OSM buildings. This paper employs the Markov-FLUS model to simulate and predict the expansion of OSM building data in Shenzhen. OSM building data in 2015 and 2019 were used to simulate the distribution of OSM buildings in 2023, and the distribution and completeness of OSM buildings in 2027 were subsequently simulated. The results indicate that by 2027, the growth rates of OSM buildings in Luohu and Longhua districts in Shenzhen will exceed 40%, with other areas growing by over 25%. The overall completeness of OSM buildings is projected to reach 39.99%. The simulation results can be used to identify future expansion of OSM building data in Shenzhen and support the sustainable development of OSM in the city.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2459109OpenStreetMapbuilding dataMarkov-FLUS modelspatiotemporal analysiscompleteness prediction
spellingShingle Sidan Chen
Lingjia Liu
Kaixiang Li
Xiaohui Ding
Wei Jiang
Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
Geocarto International
OpenStreetMap
building data
Markov-FLUS model
spatiotemporal analysis
completeness prediction
title Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
title_full Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
title_fullStr Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
title_full_unstemmed Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
title_short Simulation and prediction of the expansion of OpenStreetMap building data based on the Markov-FLUS model in Shenzhen, China
title_sort simulation and prediction of the expansion of openstreetmap building data based on the markov flus model in shenzhen china
topic OpenStreetMap
building data
Markov-FLUS model
spatiotemporal analysis
completeness prediction
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2025.2459109
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AT kaixiangli simulationandpredictionoftheexpansionofopenstreetmapbuildingdatabasedonthemarkovflusmodelinshenzhenchina
AT xiaohuiding simulationandpredictionoftheexpansionofopenstreetmapbuildingdatabasedonthemarkovflusmodelinshenzhenchina
AT weijiang simulationandpredictionoftheexpansionofopenstreetmapbuildingdatabasedonthemarkovflusmodelinshenzhenchina