Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics

This systematic review integrates content analysis and bibliometric methods to explore how market forces, investor perceptions and theoretical frameworks influence startup valuation across different fundraising stages. Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, the study analyzes 344 news articles and 970 ac...

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Main Authors: Muchamad Arif Zamani, Ersa Tri Wahyuni, Hamzah Ritchi, Tettet Fitrijanti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Cogent Business & Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2025.2530752
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author Muchamad Arif Zamani
Ersa Tri Wahyuni
Hamzah Ritchi
Tettet Fitrijanti
author_facet Muchamad Arif Zamani
Ersa Tri Wahyuni
Hamzah Ritchi
Tettet Fitrijanti
author_sort Muchamad Arif Zamani
collection DOAJ
description This systematic review integrates content analysis and bibliometric methods to explore how market forces, investor perceptions and theoretical frameworks influence startup valuation across different fundraising stages. Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, the study analyzes 344 news articles and 970 academic publications to identify recurring themes such as innovation, growth, profitability and signaling behavior. The core contribution of this research is the formulation of the Snowballing Signaling Theory – a novel conceptual model that illustrates how valuation signals accumulate over time, reinforcing investor expectations and driving cyclical valuation dynamics. This model explains how valuations, like a snowball, grow through successive funding rounds and eventually align with financial fundamentals, especially at IPO and post-IPO stages. In addition, the study introduces the concept of reverse signaling, where investors actively shape startup behavior through funding decisions, media narratives and exit strategies. By combining qualitative and bibliometric insights, this study bridges academic theory with investment practices, providing a structured framework for understanding startup valuation beyond financial metrics. It emphasizes that each stage of a startup’s lifecycle demands a tailored valuation approach, accounting for evolving investor priorities and market contexts. The findings offer actionable insights for scholars, investors and policymakers navigating the increasingly complex startup financing ecosystem.
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series Cogent Business & Management
spelling doaj-art-e633d590db2944dc9331dced69bf01492025-08-20T02:41:39ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Business & Management2331-19752025-12-0112110.1080/23311975.2025.2530752Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamicsMuchamad Arif Zamani0Ersa Tri Wahyuni1Hamzah Ritchi2Tettet Fitrijanti3Department of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, IndonesiaDepartment of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, IndonesiaDepartment of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, IndonesiaDepartment of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, IndonesiaThis systematic review integrates content analysis and bibliometric methods to explore how market forces, investor perceptions and theoretical frameworks influence startup valuation across different fundraising stages. Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, the study analyzes 344 news articles and 970 academic publications to identify recurring themes such as innovation, growth, profitability and signaling behavior. The core contribution of this research is the formulation of the Snowballing Signaling Theory – a novel conceptual model that illustrates how valuation signals accumulate over time, reinforcing investor expectations and driving cyclical valuation dynamics. This model explains how valuations, like a snowball, grow through successive funding rounds and eventually align with financial fundamentals, especially at IPO and post-IPO stages. In addition, the study introduces the concept of reverse signaling, where investors actively shape startup behavior through funding decisions, media narratives and exit strategies. By combining qualitative and bibliometric insights, this study bridges academic theory with investment practices, providing a structured framework for understanding startup valuation beyond financial metrics. It emphasizes that each stage of a startup’s lifecycle demands a tailored valuation approach, accounting for evolving investor priorities and market contexts. The findings offer actionable insights for scholars, investors and policymakers navigating the increasingly complex startup financing ecosystem.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2025.2530752Startup valuationSignaling theoryFinancial behaviorInvestor biasesBibliometric analysisBusiness, Management and Accounting
spellingShingle Muchamad Arif Zamani
Ersa Tri Wahyuni
Hamzah Ritchi
Tettet Fitrijanti
Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
Cogent Business & Management
Startup valuation
Signaling theory
Financial behavior
Investor biases
Bibliometric analysis
Business, Management and Accounting
title Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
title_full Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
title_fullStr Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
title_short Snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation: a systematic review on investor behavior, market forces and growth dynamics
title_sort snowballing signaling theory in startup valuation a systematic review on investor behavior market forces and growth dynamics
topic Startup valuation
Signaling theory
Financial behavior
Investor biases
Bibliometric analysis
Business, Management and Accounting
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311975.2025.2530752
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