Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology

This work provides a framework to analyze the role of financial development as a source of endogenous instability in emerging economies subject to moral hazard problems. We propose and study a dynamic model describing a small open economy with a tradeable good produced by internationally mobile capi...

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Main Authors: Cristiana Mammana, Elisabetta Michetti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2008-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2008/196494
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author Cristiana Mammana
Elisabetta Michetti
author_facet Cristiana Mammana
Elisabetta Michetti
author_sort Cristiana Mammana
collection DOAJ
description This work provides a framework to analyze the role of financial development as a source of endogenous instability in emerging economies subject to moral hazard problems. We propose and study a dynamic model describing a small open economy with a tradeable good produced by internationally mobile capital and a country specific input, using Leontief technology. We demonstrate that emerging markets could be endogenously unstable since large capital inflows increase risk and exacerbate asymmetric information problems, according to empirical evidences. Using bifurcation and stability analysis, we describe the properties of the system attractors, we assess the plausibility for complex dynamics and, we find out that border collision bifurcations can emerge due to the fact that the state space is piecewise smooth. As a consequence, when a fixed or periodic point loses its stability, the final dynamics may become suddenly chaotic. This fact may explain how financial crises occurred in emerging economies.
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spelling doaj-art-e603e7aeba194621bdf3a5e5a80a31ec2025-02-03T07:24:03ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2008-01-01200810.1155/2008/196494196494Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief TechnologyCristiana Mammana0Elisabetta Michetti1Department of Economic and Financial Institutions, University of Macerata, 62100 Macerata, ItalyDepartment of Economic and Financial Institutions, University of Macerata, 62100 Macerata, ItalyThis work provides a framework to analyze the role of financial development as a source of endogenous instability in emerging economies subject to moral hazard problems. We propose and study a dynamic model describing a small open economy with a tradeable good produced by internationally mobile capital and a country specific input, using Leontief technology. We demonstrate that emerging markets could be endogenously unstable since large capital inflows increase risk and exacerbate asymmetric information problems, according to empirical evidences. Using bifurcation and stability analysis, we describe the properties of the system attractors, we assess the plausibility for complex dynamics and, we find out that border collision bifurcations can emerge due to the fact that the state space is piecewise smooth. As a consequence, when a fixed or periodic point loses its stability, the final dynamics may become suddenly chaotic. This fact may explain how financial crises occurred in emerging economies.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2008/196494
spellingShingle Cristiana Mammana
Elisabetta Michetti
Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
title_full Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
title_fullStr Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
title_full_unstemmed Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
title_short Endogenous Instability in Credit-Constrained Emerging Economies with Leontief Technology
title_sort endogenous instability in credit constrained emerging economies with leontief technology
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2008/196494
work_keys_str_mv AT cristianamammana endogenousinstabilityincreditconstrainedemergingeconomieswithleontieftechnology
AT elisabettamichetti endogenousinstabilityincreditconstrainedemergingeconomieswithleontieftechnology