Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling
Abstract Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze‐up, break‐up, an...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2022-06-01
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| Series: | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099022 |
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| author | Xinchi Wang Lian Feng Wei Qi Xiaobin Cai Yi Zheng Luke Gibson Jing Tang Xiao‐peng Song Junguo Liu Chunmiao Zheng Brett A. Bryan |
| author_facet | Xinchi Wang Lian Feng Wei Qi Xiaobin Cai Yi Zheng Luke Gibson Jing Tang Xiao‐peng Song Junguo Liu Chunmiao Zheng Brett A. Bryan |
| author_sort | Xinchi Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze‐up, break‐up, and ice duration—for each year across two centuries (1900–2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in ∼60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower emission scenarios. We revealed continuous loss of global lake ice during the observed period, our generated database provides critical baseline information to evaluate the consequences of historical and future lake ice changes. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-dfc38929e61540ec869d0eb4268631a3 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 0094-8276 1944-8007 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Geophysical Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj-art-dfc38929e61540ec869d0eb4268631a32025-01-22T14:38:16ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072022-06-014912n/an/a10.1029/2022GL099022Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical ModelingXinchi Wang0Lian Feng1Wei Qi2Xiaobin Cai3Yi Zheng4Luke Gibson5Jing Tang6Xiao‐peng Song7Junguo Liu8Chunmiao Zheng9Brett A. Bryan10School of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaInstitute of Geodesy and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaDepartment of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science Lund University Lund SwedenDepartment of Geographical Sciencess University of Maryland College Park MD USASchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering Southern University of Science and Technology Shenzhen ChinaCentre for Integrative Ecology School of Life and Environmental Sciences Deakin University Burwood Victoria AustraliaAbstract Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze‐up, break‐up, and ice duration—for each year across two centuries (1900–2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in ∼60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower emission scenarios. We revealed continuous loss of global lake ice during the observed period, our generated database provides critical baseline information to evaluate the consequences of historical and future lake ice changes.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099022lake ice phenologyclimate warminglake‐specific modelremote sensingair temperature |
| spellingShingle | Xinchi Wang Lian Feng Wei Qi Xiaobin Cai Yi Zheng Luke Gibson Jing Tang Xiao‐peng Song Junguo Liu Chunmiao Zheng Brett A. Bryan Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling Geophysical Research Letters lake ice phenology climate warming lake‐specific model remote sensing air temperature |
| title | Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling |
| title_full | Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling |
| title_fullStr | Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling |
| title_full_unstemmed | Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling |
| title_short | Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling |
| title_sort | continuous loss of global lake ice across two centuries revealed by satellite observations and numerical modeling |
| topic | lake ice phenology climate warming lake‐specific model remote sensing air temperature |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099022 |
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