Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System

This paper proposes an effective approach for modelling and assessing the risks associated with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) integrated into national airspace system (NAS). Two critical hazards with UAV operations are considered and analyzed, which are ground impacts and midair collisions. Threat...

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Main Authors: Xuejun Zhang, Yang Liu, Yu Zhang, Xiangmin Guan, Daniel Delahaye, Li Tang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4731585
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author Xuejun Zhang
Yang Liu
Yu Zhang
Xiangmin Guan
Daniel Delahaye
Li Tang
author_facet Xuejun Zhang
Yang Liu
Yu Zhang
Xiangmin Guan
Daniel Delahaye
Li Tang
author_sort Xuejun Zhang
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes an effective approach for modelling and assessing the risks associated with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) integrated into national airspace system (NAS). Two critical hazards with UAV operations are considered and analyzed, which are ground impacts and midair collisions. Threats to fatalities that result from the two hazards are the focus in the proposed method. In order to realize ground impact assessment, a multifactor risk model is designed by calculating system reliability required to meet a target level of safety for different UAV categories. Both fixed-wing and rotary-wing UAVs are taken into account under a real scenario that is further partitioned into different zones to make the evaluation more precise. Official territory and population data of the operation scenario are incorporated, as well as UAV self-properties. Casualty area of impacting debris can be obtained as well as the probability of fatal injuries on the ground. Sheltering factors are not neglected and defined as four types based on the real scenario. When midair collision fatality risk is estimated, a model of aircraft collisions based on the density of civil flight in different regions over Chinese airspace is proposed. In the model, a relative collision area and flying speed between UAVs and manned aircraft are constructed to calculate expected frequency of fatalities for each province correspondingly. Truthful data with different numbers of UAVs is incorporated in the model with the expected number of fatalities after a collision is included. Experimental simulations are made to evaluate the ground impacts and midair collisions when UAVs operate in the NAS.
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-dd9632ac2e834a9ba5b8b216d1fdc7642025-02-03T01:29:57ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/47315854731585Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace SystemXuejun Zhang0Yang Liu1Yu Zhang2Xiangmin Guan3Daniel Delahaye4Li Tang5School of Automobile & Transportation, Xihua University, Chengdu, ChinaSchool of Electronic & Information Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of South Florida, Tampa, USASchool of General Aviation, Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Beijing, ChinaMAIAA Laboratory, École Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, Toulouse, FranceSchool of Automobile & Transportation, Xihua University, Chengdu, ChinaThis paper proposes an effective approach for modelling and assessing the risks associated with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) integrated into national airspace system (NAS). Two critical hazards with UAV operations are considered and analyzed, which are ground impacts and midair collisions. Threats to fatalities that result from the two hazards are the focus in the proposed method. In order to realize ground impact assessment, a multifactor risk model is designed by calculating system reliability required to meet a target level of safety for different UAV categories. Both fixed-wing and rotary-wing UAVs are taken into account under a real scenario that is further partitioned into different zones to make the evaluation more precise. Official territory and population data of the operation scenario are incorporated, as well as UAV self-properties. Casualty area of impacting debris can be obtained as well as the probability of fatal injuries on the ground. Sheltering factors are not neglected and defined as four types based on the real scenario. When midair collision fatality risk is estimated, a model of aircraft collisions based on the density of civil flight in different regions over Chinese airspace is proposed. In the model, a relative collision area and flying speed between UAVs and manned aircraft are constructed to calculate expected frequency of fatalities for each province correspondingly. Truthful data with different numbers of UAVs is incorporated in the model with the expected number of fatalities after a collision is included. Experimental simulations are made to evaluate the ground impacts and midair collisions when UAVs operate in the NAS.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4731585
spellingShingle Xuejun Zhang
Yang Liu
Yu Zhang
Xiangmin Guan
Daniel Delahaye
Li Tang
Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
title_full Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
title_fullStr Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
title_full_unstemmed Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
title_short Safety Assessment and Risk Estimation for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Operating in National Airspace System
title_sort safety assessment and risk estimation for unmanned aerial vehicles operating in national airspace system
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/4731585
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