Evaluation of the 2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA

Evaluation of the 2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA

Abstract Background West Nile virus (WNV) is the most common cause of mosquito-borne disease in the continental USA, with an average of ~1200 severe, neuroinvasive cases reported annually from 2005 to 2021 (range 386–2873). Despite this burden, efforts to forecast WNV disease to inform public health...

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Main Authors: Ryan D. Harp, Karen M. Holcomb, Renata Retkute, Alisa Prusokiene, Augustinas Prusokas, Zeynep Ertem, Marco Ajelli, Allisandra G. Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Stefano Merler, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Piero Poletti, Alessandro Vespignani, Andre B. B. Wilke, Agnese Zardini, Kelly Helm Smith, Philip Armstrong, Nicholas DeFelice, Alexander Keyel, John Shepard, Rebecca Smith, Andrew Tyre, John Humphreys, Lee W. Cohnstaedt, Saman Hosseini, Caterina Scoglio, Morgan E. Gorris, Martha Barnard, S. Kane Moser, Julie A. Spencer, Maggie S. J. McCarter, Christopher Lee, Melissa S. Nolan, Christopher M. Barker, J. Erin Staples, Randall J. Nett, Michael A. Johansson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-04-01
Series:Parasites & Vectors
Subjects:
West Nile virus
West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease
Forecasting
Vector-borne disease
Ensemble
Weighted interval scoring
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-025-06767-2
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https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-025-06767-2

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