Aspiration can decline epidemic disease
This study delves into the relationship between individual vaccination aspirations and their repercussions within the SEIRS epidemic framework, exploring effects on vaccination behavior, infection dynamics, and societal outcomes through the Vaccination Game concept. The co-evolution of epidemic dyna...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Alexandria Engineering Journal |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S111001682401250X |
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| author | Khadija Khatun Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan Jun Tanimoto |
| author_facet | Khadija Khatun Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan Jun Tanimoto |
| author_sort | Khadija Khatun |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study delves into the relationship between individual vaccination aspirations and their repercussions within the SEIRS epidemic framework, exploring effects on vaccination behavior, infection dynamics, and societal outcomes through the Vaccination Game concept. The co-evolution of epidemic dynamics and individual decision-making is examined, utilizing the social efficiency deficit (SED) to quantify a social dilemma. A novel aspiration-based model is compared with the conventional cost-based model. Higher aspiration levels correspond to increased vaccination rates, reducing overall infections. Contrary to assumptions favoring natural infection in low transmission scenarios, vaccination proves pivotal even in such contexts. Elevated transmission and immunity waning rates necessitate intensified vaccination for effective infection control, thereby reducing social dilemmas. Low vaccine efficiency coupled with high transmission rates escalates SED, but a specific vaccine efficacy threshold notably diminishes SED. Lower aspiration levels contribute to vaccine hesitancy, elevating SED, and infection rates. Surpassing an aspiration threshold redirects preferences towards vaccination, aligning with socially optimal scenarios and alleviating social dilemmas. The comparative analysis underscores the aspiration-driven approach outperforms in reducing SED, establishing its reliability in mitigating societal disease impact over the cost-based approach, but the optimal choice depends on specific epidemic conditions |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d92fc73b038d49e48ad33da852087a54 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1110-0168 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Alexandria Engineering Journal |
| spelling | doaj-art-d92fc73b038d49e48ad33da852087a542025-01-29T05:00:08ZengElsevierAlexandria Engineering Journal1110-01682025-01-01112151160Aspiration can decline epidemic diseaseKhadija Khatun0Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan1Jun Tanimoto2Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-Koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan; Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh; Corresponding author at: Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-Koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan.Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-Koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan; Department of Mathematics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, BangladeshInterdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-Koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, Japan; Faculty of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Kasuga-Koen, Kasuga-shi, Fukuoka 816-8580, JapanThis study delves into the relationship between individual vaccination aspirations and their repercussions within the SEIRS epidemic framework, exploring effects on vaccination behavior, infection dynamics, and societal outcomes through the Vaccination Game concept. The co-evolution of epidemic dynamics and individual decision-making is examined, utilizing the social efficiency deficit (SED) to quantify a social dilemma. A novel aspiration-based model is compared with the conventional cost-based model. Higher aspiration levels correspond to increased vaccination rates, reducing overall infections. Contrary to assumptions favoring natural infection in low transmission scenarios, vaccination proves pivotal even in such contexts. Elevated transmission and immunity waning rates necessitate intensified vaccination for effective infection control, thereby reducing social dilemmas. Low vaccine efficiency coupled with high transmission rates escalates SED, but a specific vaccine efficacy threshold notably diminishes SED. Lower aspiration levels contribute to vaccine hesitancy, elevating SED, and infection rates. Surpassing an aspiration threshold redirects preferences towards vaccination, aligning with socially optimal scenarios and alleviating social dilemmas. The comparative analysis underscores the aspiration-driven approach outperforms in reducing SED, establishing its reliability in mitigating societal disease impact over the cost-based approach, but the optimal choice depends on specific epidemic conditionshttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S111001682401250XMathematical epidemiologyVaccination gameAspirationBehavior modelSocial efficiency deficit |
| spellingShingle | Khadija Khatun Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan Jun Tanimoto Aspiration can decline epidemic disease Alexandria Engineering Journal Mathematical epidemiology Vaccination game Aspiration Behavior model Social efficiency deficit |
| title | Aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| title_full | Aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| title_fullStr | Aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| title_full_unstemmed | Aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| title_short | Aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| title_sort | aspiration can decline epidemic disease |
| topic | Mathematical epidemiology Vaccination game Aspiration Behavior model Social efficiency deficit |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S111001682401250X |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT khadijakhatun aspirationcandeclineepidemicdisease AT mdmamunurrashidkhan aspirationcandeclineepidemicdisease AT juntanimoto aspirationcandeclineepidemicdisease |