The Foundations of Probability with Black Swans
We extend the foundation of probability in samples with rare events that are potentially catastrophic, called black swans, such as natural hazards, market crashes, catastrophic climate change, and species extinction. Such events are generally treated as ‘‘outliers’’ and disregarded. We propose a new...
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2010-01-01
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| Series: | Journal of Probability and Statistics |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/838240 |
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