Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects

Air quality has emerged as a significant concern due to its direct impact on human health. Over recent decades, India has witnessed a marked deterioration in air quality due to rising anthropogenic emissions and climate change. The COVID-19 lockdown offered a unique opportunity to examine air pollut...

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Main Authors: Akshansha Chauhan, Guggilla Pavan Sai, Chin-Yu Hsu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025001422
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author Akshansha Chauhan
Guggilla Pavan Sai
Chin-Yu Hsu
author_facet Akshansha Chauhan
Guggilla Pavan Sai
Chin-Yu Hsu
author_sort Akshansha Chauhan
collection DOAJ
description Air quality has emerged as a significant concern due to its direct impact on human health. Over recent decades, India has witnessed a marked deterioration in air quality due to rising anthropogenic emissions and climate change. The COVID-19 lockdown offered a unique opportunity to examine air pollutant reductions under restricted human activities. This study conducted a long-term analysis of air quality in five major Indian cities—Delhi, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Visakhapatnam—by analysing variations in PM2.5, PM10, NOx, NH3, SO2, CO, and O3, incorporating a de-weathering strategy to isolate meteorological influences. In Delhi, we observed significant reductions in PM10 (92.50–136.70 μg/m³), NOx (62.13–151.91 ppb), and CO (0.53–0.88 mg/m³), which shifted health risks from the 'extreme' to 'low' category. Visakhapatnam also experienced notable declines in NOx levels (7.50–17.13 ppb). Conversely, Hyderabad exhibited no significant reductions, and AQHI increased (+0.97) due to rising NOx concentrations. Ozone concentrations showed a significant increase across cities, attributed to VOC-limited effects. The analysis revealed that meteorological variability and long-range transport of airmass played critical roles in shaping pollutant concentrations. These findings highlight the complexity of urban air quality dynamics and underscore the benefits of emission reductions for public health.
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spelling doaj-art-cf7aa6518b8847118b2c384b01dbe73d2025-02-02T05:28:07ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01112e41762Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effectsAkshansha Chauhan0Guggilla Pavan Sai1Chin-Yu Hsu2Department of Safety, Health and Environmental Engineering, Ming Chi University of Technology, 84 Gungjuan Rd., Taishan Dist., New Taipei City, 24301, Taiwan; School of Minerals and Energy Resources Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, AustraliaDepartment of Safety, Health and Environmental Engineering, Ming Chi University of Technology, 84 Gungjuan Rd., Taishan Dist., New Taipei City, 24301, TaiwanDepartment of Safety, Health and Environmental Engineering, Ming Chi University of Technology, 84 Gungjuan Rd., Taishan Dist., New Taipei City, 24301, Taiwan; Center for Environmental Sustainability and Human Health, Ming Chi University of Technology, 84 Gungjuan Rd., Taishan Dist., New Taipei City, 24301, Taiwan; Corresponding author. Department of Safety, Health and Environmental Engineering, Ming Chi University of Technology, 84 Gungjuan Rd., Taishan Dist., New Taipei City, 24301, Taiwan. Tel.: +886 2 290 89899x6204; fax: +886 2 290 82201.Air quality has emerged as a significant concern due to its direct impact on human health. Over recent decades, India has witnessed a marked deterioration in air quality due to rising anthropogenic emissions and climate change. The COVID-19 lockdown offered a unique opportunity to examine air pollutant reductions under restricted human activities. This study conducted a long-term analysis of air quality in five major Indian cities—Delhi, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Visakhapatnam—by analysing variations in PM2.5, PM10, NOx, NH3, SO2, CO, and O3, incorporating a de-weathering strategy to isolate meteorological influences. In Delhi, we observed significant reductions in PM10 (92.50–136.70 μg/m³), NOx (62.13–151.91 ppb), and CO (0.53–0.88 mg/m³), which shifted health risks from the 'extreme' to 'low' category. Visakhapatnam also experienced notable declines in NOx levels (7.50–17.13 ppb). Conversely, Hyderabad exhibited no significant reductions, and AQHI increased (+0.97) due to rising NOx concentrations. Ozone concentrations showed a significant increase across cities, attributed to VOC-limited effects. The analysis revealed that meteorological variability and long-range transport of airmass played critical roles in shaping pollutant concentrations. These findings highlight the complexity of urban air quality dynamics and underscore the benefits of emission reductions for public health.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025001422Urban air qualityDe-weathering analysisGAM modelStatistical analysisAir quality health indexCOVID-19 lockdown
spellingShingle Akshansha Chauhan
Guggilla Pavan Sai
Chin-Yu Hsu
Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
Heliyon
Urban air quality
De-weathering analysis
GAM model
Statistical analysis
Air quality health index
COVID-19 lockdown
title Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
title_full Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
title_fullStr Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
title_full_unstemmed Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
title_short Advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in India: Quantifying significance by detangling weather-driven effects
title_sort advanced statistical analysis of air quality and its health impacts in india quantifying significance by detangling weather driven effects
topic Urban air quality
De-weathering analysis
GAM model
Statistical analysis
Air quality health index
COVID-19 lockdown
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025001422
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