Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer

Abstract Background Although the TNM staging system plays a critical role in guiding adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC), its precision for risk stratification in stage II and III CRC patients with proficient DNA mismatch repair (pMMR) remains limited. Therefore, precise predictive mod...

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Main Authors: Tong Wu, Lin Fang, Yuli Ruan, Mengde Shi, Dan Su, Yue Ma, Ming Ma, Bojun Wang, Yuanyu Liao, Shuling Han, Xiaolin Lu, Chunhui Zhang, Chao Liu, Yanqiao Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Translational Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06141-x
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author Tong Wu
Lin Fang
Yuli Ruan
Mengde Shi
Dan Su
Yue Ma
Ming Ma
Bojun Wang
Yuanyu Liao
Shuling Han
Xiaolin Lu
Chunhui Zhang
Chao Liu
Yanqiao Zhang
author_facet Tong Wu
Lin Fang
Yuli Ruan
Mengde Shi
Dan Su
Yue Ma
Ming Ma
Bojun Wang
Yuanyu Liao
Shuling Han
Xiaolin Lu
Chunhui Zhang
Chao Liu
Yanqiao Zhang
author_sort Tong Wu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Although the TNM staging system plays a critical role in guiding adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC), its precision for risk stratification in stage II and III CRC patients with proficient DNA mismatch repair (pMMR) remains limited. Therefore, precise predictive models and research on postoperative treatments are crucial for enhancing patient survival and improving quality of life. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 1051 pMMR CRC patients who underwent radical resection and were randomly assigned to training (n = 736) and validation (n = 315) groups. Immunohistochemistry and hematoxylin and eosin staining were utilized to evaluate regulatory-Immunoscore (RIS), tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), and tumor budding (TB). The Tumor Aggression-Defense Index (TADI) was derived through a multi-factor COX regression model. Subgroup analysis demonstrated potential of TADI in guiding personalized adjuvant therapy for stage II and III CRC. Results Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis indicated that TADI was an independent prognostic indicator. Among stage II CRC, chemotherapy was significantly correlated with improved recurrence times in individuals with intermediate (95% CI 0.19–0.59, P < 0.001) and high (95% CI 0.36–0.95, P = 0.031) TADI. In stage III CRC receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, a duration of 3 months or longer was notably associated with a prolonged time to recurrence in those with high TADI (95% CI 0.40–0.98, P = 0.041) compared to durations of less than 3 months. Conclusion The TADI serves as an effective parameter for predicting the survival outcomes of stage I-III pMMR CRC patients and guiding precision treatment strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-ca4f535ac5bf46c0b92c949a9ae51d0a2025-01-26T12:50:10ZengBMCJournal of Translational Medicine1479-58762025-01-0123111510.1186/s12967-025-06141-xTumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancerTong Wu0Lin Fang1Yuli Ruan2Mengde Shi3Dan Su4Yue Ma5Ming Ma6Bojun Wang7Yuanyu Liao8Shuling Han9Xiaolin Lu10Chunhui Zhang11Chao Liu12Yanqiao Zhang13Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalPhase I Clinical Research Center, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University in ShandongDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer HospitalAbstract Background Although the TNM staging system plays a critical role in guiding adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC), its precision for risk stratification in stage II and III CRC patients with proficient DNA mismatch repair (pMMR) remains limited. Therefore, precise predictive models and research on postoperative treatments are crucial for enhancing patient survival and improving quality of life. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 1051 pMMR CRC patients who underwent radical resection and were randomly assigned to training (n = 736) and validation (n = 315) groups. Immunohistochemistry and hematoxylin and eosin staining were utilized to evaluate regulatory-Immunoscore (RIS), tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), and tumor budding (TB). The Tumor Aggression-Defense Index (TADI) was derived through a multi-factor COX regression model. Subgroup analysis demonstrated potential of TADI in guiding personalized adjuvant therapy for stage II and III CRC. Results Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis indicated that TADI was an independent prognostic indicator. Among stage II CRC, chemotherapy was significantly correlated with improved recurrence times in individuals with intermediate (95% CI 0.19–0.59, P < 0.001) and high (95% CI 0.36–0.95, P = 0.031) TADI. In stage III CRC receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, a duration of 3 months or longer was notably associated with a prolonged time to recurrence in those with high TADI (95% CI 0.40–0.98, P = 0.041) compared to durations of less than 3 months. Conclusion The TADI serves as an effective parameter for predicting the survival outcomes of stage I-III pMMR CRC patients and guiding precision treatment strategies.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06141-xColorectal cancerRegulatory-immunoscoreTertiary lymphoid structuresTumor buddingTumor aggression-defense index
spellingShingle Tong Wu
Lin Fang
Yuli Ruan
Mengde Shi
Dan Su
Yue Ma
Ming Ma
Bojun Wang
Yuanyu Liao
Shuling Han
Xiaolin Lu
Chunhui Zhang
Chao Liu
Yanqiao Zhang
Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
Journal of Translational Medicine
Colorectal cancer
Regulatory-immunoscore
Tertiary lymphoid structures
Tumor budding
Tumor aggression-defense index
title Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
title_full Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
title_fullStr Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
title_full_unstemmed Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
title_short Tumor aggression-defense index–a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage II-III colorectal cancer
title_sort tumor aggression defense index a novel indicator to predicts recurrence and survival in stage ii iii colorectal cancer
topic Colorectal cancer
Regulatory-immunoscore
Tertiary lymphoid structures
Tumor budding
Tumor aggression-defense index
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06141-x
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