Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC

A multi-time scale optimal dispatch model based on the scenario method and model predictive control (MPC) in the AC/DC distribution network is established due to the uncertainty of wind and load. A Markov chain dynamic scenario method is proposed, which generates scenarios by characterizing the fore...

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Main Authors: Jie Liu, Xingquan Ji, Kejun Li, Kaiyuan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7516578
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author Jie Liu
Xingquan Ji
Kejun Li
Kaiyuan Zhang
author_facet Jie Liu
Xingquan Ji
Kejun Li
Kaiyuan Zhang
author_sort Jie Liu
collection DOAJ
description A multi-time scale optimal dispatch model based on the scenario method and model predictive control (MPC) in the AC/DC distribution network is established due to the uncertainty of wind and load. A Markov chain dynamic scenario method is proposed, which generates scenarios by characterizing the forecast error via empirical distribution. Considering the time correlation of the forecast error, Markov chain is adopted in the Markov chain dynamic method to simulate the uncertainty and variability in wind and load with time. A multi-time scale optimal dispatch strategy based on MPC is proposed. The operation scheduling of operation units is solved in day-ahead and intraday optimal dispatch by minimizing the expected value of total cost in each scenario. In the real-time optimal dispatch, the stability and robustness of system operation are considered. MPC is adopted in the real-time optimal dispatch, taking the intraday scheduling as reference and using the roll optimization method to compute real-time optimal dispatch scheduling to smooth the output power. The simulation results in a 50-node system with uncontrollable distributed energy demonstrate that the proposed model and strategy can effectively eliminate fluctuations in wind and load in AC/DC distribution networks.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2090-0147
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language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
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series Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering
spelling doaj-art-c5b86989c42c47fc982616c737aa39092025-02-03T00:58:41ZengWileyJournal of Electrical and Computer Engineering2090-01472090-01552020-01-01202010.1155/2020/75165787516578Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPCJie Liu0Xingquan Ji1Kejun Li2Kaiyuan Zhang3College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaInstitute of Renewable Energy and Smart Grid, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, ChinaA multi-time scale optimal dispatch model based on the scenario method and model predictive control (MPC) in the AC/DC distribution network is established due to the uncertainty of wind and load. A Markov chain dynamic scenario method is proposed, which generates scenarios by characterizing the forecast error via empirical distribution. Considering the time correlation of the forecast error, Markov chain is adopted in the Markov chain dynamic method to simulate the uncertainty and variability in wind and load with time. A multi-time scale optimal dispatch strategy based on MPC is proposed. The operation scheduling of operation units is solved in day-ahead and intraday optimal dispatch by minimizing the expected value of total cost in each scenario. In the real-time optimal dispatch, the stability and robustness of system operation are considered. MPC is adopted in the real-time optimal dispatch, taking the intraday scheduling as reference and using the roll optimization method to compute real-time optimal dispatch scheduling to smooth the output power. The simulation results in a 50-node system with uncontrollable distributed energy demonstrate that the proposed model and strategy can effectively eliminate fluctuations in wind and load in AC/DC distribution networks.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7516578
spellingShingle Jie Liu
Xingquan Ji
Kejun Li
Kaiyuan Zhang
Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering
title Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
title_full Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
title_fullStr Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
title_full_unstemmed Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
title_short Multi-Time Scale Optimal Dispatch for AC/DC Distribution Networks Based on a Markov Chain Dynamic Scenario Method and MPC
title_sort multi time scale optimal dispatch for ac dc distribution networks based on a markov chain dynamic scenario method and mpc
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7516578
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AT kejunli multitimescaleoptimaldispatchforacdcdistributionnetworksbasedonamarkovchaindynamicscenariomethodandmpc
AT kaiyuanzhang multitimescaleoptimaldispatchforacdcdistributionnetworksbasedonamarkovchaindynamicscenariomethodandmpc