Short-Term Forecasting of Global Energy and Metal Prices: VAR and VECM Approaches

This study introduces a set of multivariate models with the aim of forecasting global prices of 1) crude oil, 2) natural gas, 3) iron ore, and 4) steel. Various versions of vector autoregression and error-correction models are applied to monthly data for the short-term prediction of nominal commodit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Diana Balioz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Bank of Ukraine 2022-12-01
Series:Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.bank.gov.ua/en/article/2022/254/02
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