Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine

Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by nove...

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Main Authors: Marzia Ahmed, Mohd Herwan Sulaiman, Md. Maruf Hassan, Md. Atikur Rahaman, Mohammad Bin Amin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Results in Control and Optimization
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720725000049
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author Marzia Ahmed
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman
Md. Maruf Hassan
Md. Atikur Rahaman
Mohammad Bin Amin
author_facet Marzia Ahmed
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman
Md. Maruf Hassan
Md. Atikur Rahaman
Mohammad Bin Amin
author_sort Marzia Ahmed
collection DOAJ
description Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (γ) and the kernel parameter (σ2), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2666-7207
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Results in Control and Optimization
spelling doaj-art-c14b30299ce048cc997b983a09ace28d2025-01-23T05:27:50ZengElsevierResults in Control and Optimization2666-72072025-03-0118100518Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machineMarzia Ahmed0Mohd Herwan Sulaiman1Md. Maruf Hassan2Md. Atikur Rahaman3Mohammad Bin Amin4Department of Software Engineering, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, 1341, Bangladesh; Corresponding author.Universiti Malaysia Pahang Al-Sultan Abdullah, Pekan, 26600, Pahang, MalaysiaDepartment of CSE, Southeast University, Dhaka, BangladeshSchool of Economics and Management, Jiujiang University, 551 Qianjin Donglu, Jiujiang, Jiangxi 332005, PR ChinaDoctoral School of Management and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, HungaryAccurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (γ) and the kernel parameter (σ2), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720725000049Variants of barnacle optimizerGooseneck barnacle optimizerEnergy consumption forecastingPower distributionMachine learning
spellingShingle Marzia Ahmed
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman
Md. Maruf Hassan
Md. Atikur Rahaman
Mohammad Bin Amin
Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
Results in Control and Optimization
Variants of barnacle optimizer
Gooseneck barnacle optimizer
Energy consumption forecasting
Power distribution
Machine learning
title Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_full Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_fullStr Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_full_unstemmed Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_short Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_sort daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
topic Variants of barnacle optimizer
Gooseneck barnacle optimizer
Energy consumption forecasting
Power distribution
Machine learning
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720725000049
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