Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model

This study addresses the fuzzy parameters (coefficient) determination for the logistic population growth model, proposing a novel methodology based on fuzzy logic concepts. Population dynamics are often modeled using differential equations whose parameters represent critical ecological information,...

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Main Authors: Yuney Gorrin-Ortega, Selene Lilette Cardenas-Maciel, Jorge Antonio Lopez-Renteria, Nohe Ramon Cazarez-Castro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Axioms
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/14/1/36
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author Yuney Gorrin-Ortega
Selene Lilette Cardenas-Maciel
Jorge Antonio Lopez-Renteria
Nohe Ramon Cazarez-Castro
author_facet Yuney Gorrin-Ortega
Selene Lilette Cardenas-Maciel
Jorge Antonio Lopez-Renteria
Nohe Ramon Cazarez-Castro
author_sort Yuney Gorrin-Ortega
collection DOAJ
description This study addresses the fuzzy parameters (coefficient) determination for the logistic population growth model, proposing a novel methodology based on fuzzy logic concepts. Population dynamics are often modeled using differential equations whose parameters represent critical ecological information, where the parameters determination is a problem itself. Unlike those approaches, the proposed methodology leverages ecosystem variables as inputs to a fuzzy inference system, which then generates fuzzy coefficients that better capture the inherent uncertainties in population dynamics. The approach was tested on a case study involving marine fish populations, where the fuzzy coefficients for growth rate and carrying capacity were calculated and integrated into the logistic model. The results illustrate that the fuzzy model with the proposed coefficients provide a robust framework for modeling population growth, preserving the increasing trajectory of the population under different scenarios. This method allows for the incorporation of expert knowledge and linguistic variables into the model, offering a more flexible and accurate representation of real-world ecosystems. The study concludes that this methodology significantly enhances the model’s applicability and predictive power, particularly in situations where precise data are not available.
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institution Kabale University
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series Axioms
spelling doaj-art-bfe7765fd2cf4647b09b8e038f76e7672025-01-24T13:22:13ZengMDPI AGAxioms2075-16802025-01-011413610.3390/axioms14010036Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth ModelYuney Gorrin-Ortega0Selene Lilette Cardenas-Maciel1Jorge Antonio Lopez-Renteria2Nohe Ramon Cazarez-Castro3Instituto Tecnologico de Tijuana, Tecnologico Nacional de Mexico, Tijuana 22414, BC, MexicoInstituto Tecnologico de Tijuana, Tecnologico Nacional de Mexico, Tijuana 22414, BC, MexicoCONAHCYT—Tecnológico Nacional de México/Instituto Tecnológico de Tijuana, Tijuana 22414, BC, MexicoInstituto Tecnologico de Tijuana, Tecnologico Nacional de Mexico, Tijuana 22414, BC, MexicoThis study addresses the fuzzy parameters (coefficient) determination for the logistic population growth model, proposing a novel methodology based on fuzzy logic concepts. Population dynamics are often modeled using differential equations whose parameters represent critical ecological information, where the parameters determination is a problem itself. Unlike those approaches, the proposed methodology leverages ecosystem variables as inputs to a fuzzy inference system, which then generates fuzzy coefficients that better capture the inherent uncertainties in population dynamics. The approach was tested on a case study involving marine fish populations, where the fuzzy coefficients for growth rate and carrying capacity were calculated and integrated into the logistic model. The results illustrate that the fuzzy model with the proposed coefficients provide a robust framework for modeling population growth, preserving the increasing trajectory of the population under different scenarios. This method allows for the incorporation of expert knowledge and linguistic variables into the model, offering a more flexible and accurate representation of real-world ecosystems. The study concludes that this methodology significantly enhances the model’s applicability and predictive power, particularly in situations where precise data are not available.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/14/1/36fuzzy differential equationsverhulst modelfuzzy coefficientspopulation dynamicsexpert knowledge
spellingShingle Yuney Gorrin-Ortega
Selene Lilette Cardenas-Maciel
Jorge Antonio Lopez-Renteria
Nohe Ramon Cazarez-Castro
Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
Axioms
fuzzy differential equations
verhulst model
fuzzy coefficients
population dynamics
expert knowledge
title Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
title_full Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
title_fullStr Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
title_full_unstemmed Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
title_short Parameters Determination via Fuzzy Inference Systems for the Logistic Populations Growth Model
title_sort parameters determination via fuzzy inference systems for the logistic populations growth model
topic fuzzy differential equations
verhulst model
fuzzy coefficients
population dynamics
expert knowledge
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/14/1/36
work_keys_str_mv AT yuneygorrinortega parametersdeterminationviafuzzyinferencesystemsforthelogisticpopulationsgrowthmodel
AT selenelilettecardenasmaciel parametersdeterminationviafuzzyinferencesystemsforthelogisticpopulationsgrowthmodel
AT jorgeantoniolopezrenteria parametersdeterminationviafuzzyinferencesystemsforthelogisticpopulationsgrowthmodel
AT noheramoncazarezcastro parametersdeterminationviafuzzyinferencesystemsforthelogisticpopulationsgrowthmodel