Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic

Abstract Climate models simulate a wide range of temperatures in the Arctic. Here we investigate one of the main drivers of changes in surface temperature: the net surface heat flux in the models. We show that in the winter months of the dark Arctic, there is a more than two-fold difference in the n...

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Main Authors: Cheng Tao, Minghua Zhang, Shaocheng Xie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86322-2
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author Cheng Tao
Minghua Zhang
Shaocheng Xie
author_facet Cheng Tao
Minghua Zhang
Shaocheng Xie
author_sort Cheng Tao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Climate models simulate a wide range of temperatures in the Arctic. Here we investigate one of the main drivers of changes in surface temperature: the net surface heat flux in the models. We show that in the winter months of the dark Arctic, there is a more than two-fold difference in the net surface heat fluxes among the models, and this difference is dominated by the downward infrared radiation from clouds. Owing to the small amount of water vapor in the winter Arctic, infrared radiation from clouds transmits more easily to the surface in the Arctic than at other latitudes, resulting in large cloud radiative effect at the surface. The dominant role of the cloud effect is also found in the transient variability of the net surface heat flux. Results demonstrate that accurate simulation of clouds is crucial for determining the net surface heat flux, which in turn affects surface temperature and sea ice properties in the Arctic.
format Article
id doaj-art-b9e5838129a8470da49dae6fa263a044
institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-b9e5838129a8470da49dae6fa263a0442025-01-26T12:28:01ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111010.1038/s41598-025-86322-2Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark ArcticCheng Tao0Minghua Zhang1Shaocheng Xie2Lawrence Livermore National LaboratorySchool of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook UniversityLawrence Livermore National LaboratoryAbstract Climate models simulate a wide range of temperatures in the Arctic. Here we investigate one of the main drivers of changes in surface temperature: the net surface heat flux in the models. We show that in the winter months of the dark Arctic, there is a more than two-fold difference in the net surface heat fluxes among the models, and this difference is dominated by the downward infrared radiation from clouds. Owing to the small amount of water vapor in the winter Arctic, infrared radiation from clouds transmits more easily to the surface in the Arctic than at other latitudes, resulting in large cloud radiative effect at the surface. The dominant role of the cloud effect is also found in the transient variability of the net surface heat flux. Results demonstrate that accurate simulation of clouds is crucial for determining the net surface heat flux, which in turn affects surface temperature and sea ice properties in the Arctic.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86322-2
spellingShingle Cheng Tao
Minghua Zhang
Shaocheng Xie
Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
Scientific Reports
title Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
title_full Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
title_fullStr Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
title_full_unstemmed Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
title_short Cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark Arctic
title_sort cloud radiative effect dominates variabilities of surface energy budget in the dark arctic
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86322-2
work_keys_str_mv AT chengtao cloudradiativeeffectdominatesvariabilitiesofsurfaceenergybudgetinthedarkarctic
AT minghuazhang cloudradiativeeffectdominatesvariabilitiesofsurfaceenergybudgetinthedarkarctic
AT shaochengxie cloudradiativeeffectdominatesvariabilitiesofsurfaceenergybudgetinthedarkarctic