Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management
The Wadi Guir Watershed, located in the eastern basins of Morocco, spans approximately 4,231 km². One of the major challenges both globally and in Morocco, particularly in oasis regions such as the Guir River watershed, is ensuring water availability while preserving ecosystems in arid zones affecte...
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EDP Sciences
2025-01-01
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| Series: | E3S Web of Conferences |
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| Online Access: | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/07/e3sconf_errachidia2024_04019.pdf |
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| author | Messaoudi Badre Kabiri Lahcen Ait Lahssaine Ismail El Hafyani Mohammed Kadiri Abdelhakim Essafraoui Badre Albergel Jean |
| author_facet | Messaoudi Badre Kabiri Lahcen Ait Lahssaine Ismail El Hafyani Mohammed Kadiri Abdelhakim Essafraoui Badre Albergel Jean |
| author_sort | Messaoudi Badre |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The Wadi Guir Watershed, located in the eastern basins of Morocco, spans approximately 4,231 km². One of the major challenges both globally and in Morocco, particularly in oasis regions such as the Guir River watershed, is ensuring water availability while preserving ecosystems in arid zones affected by climate change. This challenge is further compounded by the development of modern intensive agriculture alongside traditional oasis systems.This study aims to evaluate the impact of climate change on water resources in the Wadi Guir watershed, focusing on the most critical scenario, RCP 8.5, for the period from 2019 to 2060. A statistical downscaling model and the non-parametric Pettitt test were employed to analyze precipitation trends in the region. The results reveal a decline in precipitation under the selected scenario, coupled with an increase in temperatures. Consequently, a reduction in discharge is projected, from 0.045 Mm³ in 2019 to 0.030 Mm³ in 2060, alongside intensified evaporation.This research highlights the urgent need to develop adaptation strategies and decision-making frameworks tailored to the impacts of climate change to ensure the sustainable management of natural resources and ecosystems. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b690fe67af79423aa32a26ad1bdad2c8 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2267-1242 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | E3S Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj-art-b690fe67af79423aa32a26ad1bdad2c82025-02-05T10:49:24ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422025-01-016070401910.1051/e3sconf/202560704019e3sconf_errachidia2024_04019Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable ManagementMessaoudi Badre0Kabiri Lahcen1Ait Lahssaine Ismail2El Hafyani Mohammed3Kadiri Abdelhakim4Essafraoui Badre5Albergel Jean6Laboratory of Engineering Sciences and Techniques, Geo-Resource Geo-Environment Geological and Oasis Heritage Research Team, Department of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Moulay Ismail UniversityLaboratory of Engineering Sciences and Techniques, Geo-Resource Geo-Environment Geological and Oasis Heritage Research Team, Department of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Moulay Ismail UniversityLaboratory of Engineering Sciences and Techniques, Geo-Resource Geo-Environment Geological and Oasis Heritage Research Team, Department of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Moulay Ismail UniversityNational Institute for Scientific and Technological Research in Water, City of Innovation Souss Massa, Ibn Zohr UniversityLaboratory of Engineering Sciences and Techniques, Geo-Resource Geo-Environment Geological and Oasis Heritage Research Team, Department of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Moulay Ismail UniversityLaboratory of Engineering Sciences and Techniques, Geo-Resource Geo-Environment Geological and Oasis Heritage Research Team, Department of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Moulay Ismail UniversityMontpellier SupAgro, IRD, University of MontpellierThe Wadi Guir Watershed, located in the eastern basins of Morocco, spans approximately 4,231 km². One of the major challenges both globally and in Morocco, particularly in oasis regions such as the Guir River watershed, is ensuring water availability while preserving ecosystems in arid zones affected by climate change. This challenge is further compounded by the development of modern intensive agriculture alongside traditional oasis systems.This study aims to evaluate the impact of climate change on water resources in the Wadi Guir watershed, focusing on the most critical scenario, RCP 8.5, for the period from 2019 to 2060. A statistical downscaling model and the non-parametric Pettitt test were employed to analyze precipitation trends in the region. The results reveal a decline in precipitation under the selected scenario, coupled with an increase in temperatures. Consequently, a reduction in discharge is projected, from 0.045 Mm³ in 2019 to 0.030 Mm³ in 2060, alongside intensified evaporation.This research highlights the urgent need to develop adaptation strategies and decision-making frameworks tailored to the impacts of climate change to ensure the sustainable management of natural resources and ecosystems.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/07/e3sconf_errachidia2024_04019.pdfwater resourcesrcp 8.5ecosystemwadi guir watershedclimate change |
| spellingShingle | Messaoudi Badre Kabiri Lahcen Ait Lahssaine Ismail El Hafyani Mohammed Kadiri Abdelhakim Essafraoui Badre Albergel Jean Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management E3S Web of Conferences water resources rcp 8.5 ecosystem wadi guir watershed climate change |
| title | Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management |
| title_full | Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management |
| title_fullStr | Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management |
| title_short | Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Wadi Guir Watershed: Adaptation Strategies for Sustainable Management |
| title_sort | impact of climate change on water resources in the wadi guir watershed adaptation strategies for sustainable management |
| topic | water resources rcp 8.5 ecosystem wadi guir watershed climate change |
| url | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/07/e3sconf_errachidia2024_04019.pdf |
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