Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Smoking is widely acknowledged for its harmful effects on multiple organs. However, its specific causal relationship with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains uncertain. This study applied bivariate causal analysis and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) methods to examine the association betwee...

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Main Authors: Yue Yang, Zheng Zhang, Hai-tao Lu, Qian-qian Xu, Li Zhuo, Wen-ge Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Renal Failure
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2025.2453014
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author Yue Yang
Zheng Zhang
Hai-tao Lu
Qian-qian Xu
Li Zhuo
Wen-ge Li
author_facet Yue Yang
Zheng Zhang
Hai-tao Lu
Qian-qian Xu
Li Zhuo
Wen-ge Li
author_sort Yue Yang
collection DOAJ
description Smoking is widely acknowledged for its harmful effects on multiple organs. However, its specific causal relationship with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains uncertain. This study applied bivariate causal analysis and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) methods to examine the association between various smoking behaviors – initiation, cessation, age at initiation, cigarettes smoked per day, and lifetime smoking – and CKD, using genome-wide data. The inverse variance weighted (IVW) method was the primary analytical tool, supported by sensitivity analyses, pleiotropy assessments, and mediation analyses. External validation was conducted using independent datasets. The results revealed positive associations between CKD and smoking initiation (Pivw = 1.8 × 10−2, OR = 1.192), earlier age at initiation (Pivw = 2.3 × 10−3, OR = 1.481), cigarettes smoked per day (Pivw = 8.8 × 10−3, OR = 1.216), and lifetime smoking (Pivw = 2.3 × 10−7, OR = 2.445). In contrast, smoking cessation demonstrated a protective effect against CKD (Pivw = 4.0 × 10−12, OR = 0.791). External validation results aligned with the primary findings, and the absence of significant heterogeneity confirmed the robustness of the MR analysis. Additionally, the effect of smoking on CKD was mediated by factors such as body mass index, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and type 2 diabetes. These findings identify smoking as a contributing factor to CKD and suggest that reducing smoking prevalence could significantly lower the incidence of CKD in the population.
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spelling doaj-art-b09e5fc46fdd43508ec5ccdedc7c57582025-01-22T01:33:39ZengTaylor & Francis GroupRenal Failure0886-022X1525-60492025-12-0147110.1080/0886022X.2025.2453014Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization studyYue Yang0Zheng Zhang1Hai-tao Lu2Qian-qian Xu3Li Zhuo4Wen-ge Li5Department of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, ChinaSmoking is widely acknowledged for its harmful effects on multiple organs. However, its specific causal relationship with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains uncertain. This study applied bivariate causal analysis and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) methods to examine the association between various smoking behaviors – initiation, cessation, age at initiation, cigarettes smoked per day, and lifetime smoking – and CKD, using genome-wide data. The inverse variance weighted (IVW) method was the primary analytical tool, supported by sensitivity analyses, pleiotropy assessments, and mediation analyses. External validation was conducted using independent datasets. The results revealed positive associations between CKD and smoking initiation (Pivw = 1.8 × 10−2, OR = 1.192), earlier age at initiation (Pivw = 2.3 × 10−3, OR = 1.481), cigarettes smoked per day (Pivw = 8.8 × 10−3, OR = 1.216), and lifetime smoking (Pivw = 2.3 × 10−7, OR = 2.445). In contrast, smoking cessation demonstrated a protective effect against CKD (Pivw = 4.0 × 10−12, OR = 0.791). External validation results aligned with the primary findings, and the absence of significant heterogeneity confirmed the robustness of the MR analysis. Additionally, the effect of smoking on CKD was mediated by factors such as body mass index, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and type 2 diabetes. These findings identify smoking as a contributing factor to CKD and suggest that reducing smoking prevalence could significantly lower the incidence of CKD in the population.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2025.2453014Smokingchronic kidney diseaseMendelian randomizationcausationgenetic analysis
spellingShingle Yue Yang
Zheng Zhang
Hai-tao Lu
Qian-qian Xu
Li Zhuo
Wen-ge Li
Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
Renal Failure
Smoking
chronic kidney disease
Mendelian randomization
causation
genetic analysis
title Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
title_full Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
title_fullStr Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
title_full_unstemmed Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
title_short Smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
title_sort smoking as a causative factor in chronic kidney disease a two sample mendelian randomization study
topic Smoking
chronic kidney disease
Mendelian randomization
causation
genetic analysis
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2025.2453014
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