Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS

BackgroundOsteosarcoma (OS) exhibits significant epigenetic heterogeneity, yet its systematic characterization and clinical implications remain largely unexplored.MethodsWe analyzed single-cell transcriptomes of five primary OS samples, identifying cell type-specific epigenetic features and their ev...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chaoyi Yin, Kede Chi, Zhiqing Chen, Shabin Zhuang, Yongsheng Ye, Binshan Zhang, Cailiang Cai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Pharmacology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2025.1529525/full
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832589786351665152
author Chaoyi Yin
Kede Chi
Zhiqing Chen
Shabin Zhuang
Yongsheng Ye
Binshan Zhang
Cailiang Cai
author_facet Chaoyi Yin
Kede Chi
Zhiqing Chen
Shabin Zhuang
Yongsheng Ye
Binshan Zhang
Cailiang Cai
author_sort Chaoyi Yin
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundOsteosarcoma (OS) exhibits significant epigenetic heterogeneity, yet its systematic characterization and clinical implications remain largely unexplored.MethodsWe analyzed single-cell transcriptomes of five primary OS samples, identifying cell type-specific epigenetic features and their evolutionary trajectories. An epigenetics-based Random Survival Forest (RSF) model was constructed using 801 curated epigenetic factors and validated in multiple independent cohorts.ResultsOur analysis revealed distinct epigenetic states in the OS microenvironment, with particular activity in OS cells and osteoclasts. The RSF model identified key predictive genes including OLFML2B, ACTB, and C1QB, and demonstrated broad applicability across multiple cancer types. Risk stratification analysis revealed distinct therapeutic response patterns, with low-risk groups showing enhanced sensitivity to traditional chemotherapy drugs while high-risk groups responded better to targeted therapies.ConclusionOur epigenetics-based model demonstrates excellent prognostic accuracy (AUC>0.997 in internal validation, 0.832–0.929 in external cohorts) and provides a practical tool for treatment stratification. These findings establish a clinically applicable framework for personalized therapy selection in OS patients.
format Article
id doaj-art-a714443330ab489ab00ea8e545fb8c28
institution Kabale University
issn 1663-9812
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Pharmacology
spelling doaj-art-a714443330ab489ab00ea8e545fb8c282025-01-24T08:43:08ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pharmacology1663-98122025-01-011610.3389/fphar.2025.15295251529525Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OSChaoyi Yin0Kede Chi1Zhiqing Chen2Shabin Zhuang3Yongsheng Ye4Binshan Zhang5Cailiang Cai6Department of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaDepartment One of Spine Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhongshan, ChinaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dongguan Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Dongguan, ChinaBackgroundOsteosarcoma (OS) exhibits significant epigenetic heterogeneity, yet its systematic characterization and clinical implications remain largely unexplored.MethodsWe analyzed single-cell transcriptomes of five primary OS samples, identifying cell type-specific epigenetic features and their evolutionary trajectories. An epigenetics-based Random Survival Forest (RSF) model was constructed using 801 curated epigenetic factors and validated in multiple independent cohorts.ResultsOur analysis revealed distinct epigenetic states in the OS microenvironment, with particular activity in OS cells and osteoclasts. The RSF model identified key predictive genes including OLFML2B, ACTB, and C1QB, and demonstrated broad applicability across multiple cancer types. Risk stratification analysis revealed distinct therapeutic response patterns, with low-risk groups showing enhanced sensitivity to traditional chemotherapy drugs while high-risk groups responded better to targeted therapies.ConclusionOur epigenetics-based model demonstrates excellent prognostic accuracy (AUC>0.997 in internal validation, 0.832–0.929 in external cohorts) and provides a practical tool for treatment stratification. These findings establish a clinically applicable framework for personalized therapy selection in OS patients.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2025.1529525/fullosteosarcomaepigenetic heterogeneitysingle-cell RNA sequencingrandom survival forestprognostic modeldrug sensitivity
spellingShingle Chaoyi Yin
Kede Chi
Zhiqing Chen
Shabin Zhuang
Yongsheng Ye
Binshan Zhang
Cailiang Cai
Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
Frontiers in Pharmacology
osteosarcoma
epigenetic heterogeneity
single-cell RNA sequencing
random survival forest
prognostic model
drug sensitivity
title Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
title_full Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
title_fullStr Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
title_full_unstemmed Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
title_short Development and pan-cancer validation of an epigenetics-based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in OS
title_sort development and pan cancer validation of an epigenetics based random survival forest model for prognosis prediction and drug response in os
topic osteosarcoma
epigenetic heterogeneity
single-cell RNA sequencing
random survival forest
prognostic model
drug sensitivity
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2025.1529525/full
work_keys_str_mv AT chaoyiyin developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT kedechi developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT zhiqingchen developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT shabinzhuang developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT yongshengye developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT binshanzhang developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos
AT cailiangcai developmentandpancancervalidationofanepigeneticsbasedrandomsurvivalforestmodelforprognosispredictionanddrugresponseinos