Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index

The imposition of Western economic sanctions against Iran has had varying effects on the country's financial markets, with the capital market being one of the sectors not immune to the shockwaves of these sanctions. Given the pivotal role of sanctions in shaping Iran's economic fluctuation...

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Main Authors: Reza Tehrani, Mahmood Mokhtarband, Menal Aboodeh
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: University of Isfahan 2024-06-01
Series:Journal of Asset Management and Financing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://amf.ui.ac.ir/article_28620_de01514eda170e62bd105ff8b9b20dce.pdf
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author Reza Tehrani
Mahmood Mokhtarband
Menal Aboodeh
author_facet Reza Tehrani
Mahmood Mokhtarband
Menal Aboodeh
author_sort Reza Tehrani
collection DOAJ
description The imposition of Western economic sanctions against Iran has had varying effects on the country's financial markets, with the capital market being one of the sectors not immune to the shockwaves of these sanctions. Given the pivotal role of sanctions in shaping Iran's economic fluctuations, this study aimed to examine the effects of sanctions on the state of the Iranian capital market using a structural macroeconomic econometric model. Unlike previous research, this study accounted for the non-linear, intensity-dependent nature of the sanctions' impact, rather than assuming a constant effect. The research methodology employed an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, considering datasets with both annual and seasonal frequencies over a 30-year period from 1991 to 2021. The findings of the optimal model indicated that the sanctions index had a negative and statistically significant effect on the behavior of the Iranian capital market.
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series Journal of Asset Management and Financing
spelling doaj-art-a04ec60969d24bebae96860b0a30510d2025-01-26T10:23:34ZfasUniversity of IsfahanJournal of Asset Management and Financing2383-11892024-06-0112211312610.22108/amf.2024.141380.188028620Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market IndexReza Tehrani0Mahmood Mokhtarband1Menal Aboodeh2Professor, Department of Financial Engineering, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Sciences, College of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, IranAssistant Professor, Department of Economy, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, IranPh.D. Candidate, Department of Financial Engineering, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Sciences, College of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, IranThe imposition of Western economic sanctions against Iran has had varying effects on the country's financial markets, with the capital market being one of the sectors not immune to the shockwaves of these sanctions. Given the pivotal role of sanctions in shaping Iran's economic fluctuations, this study aimed to examine the effects of sanctions on the state of the Iranian capital market using a structural macroeconomic econometric model. Unlike previous research, this study accounted for the non-linear, intensity-dependent nature of the sanctions' impact, rather than assuming a constant effect. The research methodology employed an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, considering datasets with both annual and seasonal frequencies over a 30-year period from 1991 to 2021. The findings of the optimal model indicated that the sanctions index had a negative and statistically significant effect on the behavior of the Iranian capital market.https://amf.ui.ac.ir/article_28620_de01514eda170e62bd105ff8b9b20dce.pdfshockfluctuationssanctionmidasexchange rate
spellingShingle Reza Tehrani
Mahmood Mokhtarband
Menal Aboodeh
Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
Journal of Asset Management and Financing
shock
fluctuations
sanction
midas
exchange rate
title Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
title_full Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
title_fullStr Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
title_short Impact of Sanction Shock on Iran's Stock Market Index
title_sort impact of sanction shock on iran s stock market index
topic shock
fluctuations
sanction
midas
exchange rate
url https://amf.ui.ac.ir/article_28620_de01514eda170e62bd105ff8b9b20dce.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT rezatehrani impactofsanctionshockoniransstockmarketindex
AT mahmoodmokhtarband impactofsanctionshockoniransstockmarketindex
AT menalaboodeh impactofsanctionshockoniransstockmarketindex