Real-time ENSO forecast skill evaluated over the last two decades, with focus on the onset of ENSO events

Abstract This paper provides an updated assessment of the “International Research Institute for Climate and Society’s (IRI) El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Predictions Plume”. We evaluate 253 real-time forecasts of the Niño 3.4 index issued from February 2002 to February 2023 and examine multimo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Michelle L. L’Heureux, Michael K. Tippett, Andrew W. Robertson, Jeffrey Turmelle
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00845-5
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