A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques

Rubber composite sleepers can experience significant temperature variations in service, causing temperature-induced deformation. Real-time monitoring of this deformation is crucial for operational safety and maintenance; however, it is costly, time-consuming, and requires substantial resources and...

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Main Authors: Abdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu, Zhiping Zeng, Ibrahim Hayatu Hassan, Wang Weidong, Hassan Suleiman Otuoze, Suleiman Abdulhakeem, Bushrah Baba Abdulrahman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: middle technical university 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Techniques
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Online Access:https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/2609
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author Abdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu
Zhiping Zeng
Ibrahim Hayatu Hassan
Wang Weidong
Hassan Suleiman Otuoze
Suleiman Abdulhakeem
Bushrah Baba Abdulrahman
author_facet Abdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu
Zhiping Zeng
Ibrahim Hayatu Hassan
Wang Weidong
Hassan Suleiman Otuoze
Suleiman Abdulhakeem
Bushrah Baba Abdulrahman
author_sort Abdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu
collection DOAJ
description Rubber composite sleepers can experience significant temperature variations in service, causing temperature-induced deformation. Real-time monitoring of this deformation is crucial for operational safety and maintenance; however, it is costly, time-consuming, and requires substantial resources and personnel. Developing temperature-dependent predictive models offers a cost-effective and efficient alternative, providing accurate insights into sleeper behaviour under different conditions while saving time, labour, and materials. This study attempts to develop a novel deformation model of rubber composite sleepers using response surface methodology (RSM) and machine learning (ML) techniques. Platinum temperature (Pt) sensors, embedded at various points on a full-scale rubber composite sleeper model, were used to measure both the sleeper temperature field and ambient temperature in real-time at 30-minute intervals over the period of a year. Simultaneously, lateral deformation was recorded using linear variable differential transducer (LVDT) displacement sensors. The temperature data were filtered to remove noise and normalized based on the Log-Pearson Type III outlier detection method and Box-Cox transformation, respectively, before being used to develop temperature-dependent models for sleeper deformation. To ensure accurate ML predictions, the dataset was split into 70% for training and 30% for testing. Model performance was evaluated using the correlation coefficient (R2), mean square error (MSE), root means square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). The analysis revealed that the sleeper’s body temperature closely follows the changing trend of the ambient environment. Also, like any polymer material, the rubber composite sleeper expands when it absorbs heat from sunlight and contracts as it cools when sunlight intensity decreases, potentially reversing much of the deformation. The K-nearest neighbour algorithm outperformed the RSM and other ML techniques with R2, MSE, RMSE, and MAE values of 0.999, 0.000258, 0.016, and 0.000896, respectively. The developed model can serve as an important reference for monitoring lateral deformation for safety and maintenance purposes.
format Article
id doaj-art-9c9e0a7b3f4b4585955f99382d074684
institution Kabale University
issn 1818-653X
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language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher middle technical university
record_format Article
series Journal of Techniques
spelling doaj-art-9c9e0a7b3f4b4585955f99382d0746842025-01-19T10:54:59Zengmiddle technical universityJournal of Techniques1818-653X2708-83832024-12-016410.51173/jt.v6i4.2609A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) TechniquesAbdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu0Zhiping Zeng1Ibrahim Hayatu Hassan2Wang Weidong3Hassan Suleiman Otuoze4Suleiman Abdulhakeem5Bushrah Baba Abdulrahman6Department of Civil Engineering, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, NigeriaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaInstitute for Agricultural Research, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, NigeriaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, NigeriaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, NigeriaDepartment of Polymer and Textile Engineering, Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, Nigeria Rubber composite sleepers can experience significant temperature variations in service, causing temperature-induced deformation. Real-time monitoring of this deformation is crucial for operational safety and maintenance; however, it is costly, time-consuming, and requires substantial resources and personnel. Developing temperature-dependent predictive models offers a cost-effective and efficient alternative, providing accurate insights into sleeper behaviour under different conditions while saving time, labour, and materials. This study attempts to develop a novel deformation model of rubber composite sleepers using response surface methodology (RSM) and machine learning (ML) techniques. Platinum temperature (Pt) sensors, embedded at various points on a full-scale rubber composite sleeper model, were used to measure both the sleeper temperature field and ambient temperature in real-time at 30-minute intervals over the period of a year. Simultaneously, lateral deformation was recorded using linear variable differential transducer (LVDT) displacement sensors. The temperature data were filtered to remove noise and normalized based on the Log-Pearson Type III outlier detection method and Box-Cox transformation, respectively, before being used to develop temperature-dependent models for sleeper deformation. To ensure accurate ML predictions, the dataset was split into 70% for training and 30% for testing. Model performance was evaluated using the correlation coefficient (R2), mean square error (MSE), root means square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). The analysis revealed that the sleeper’s body temperature closely follows the changing trend of the ambient environment. Also, like any polymer material, the rubber composite sleeper expands when it absorbs heat from sunlight and contracts as it cools when sunlight intensity decreases, potentially reversing much of the deformation. The K-nearest neighbour algorithm outperformed the RSM and other ML techniques with R2, MSE, RMSE, and MAE values of 0.999, 0.000258, 0.016, and 0.000896, respectively. The developed model can serve as an important reference for monitoring lateral deformation for safety and maintenance purposes. https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/2609Rubber Composite SleeperDeformationResponse Surface MethodologyMachine LearningTemperature-Distribution
spellingShingle Abdulmumin Ahmed Shuaibu
Zhiping Zeng
Ibrahim Hayatu Hassan
Wang Weidong
Hassan Suleiman Otuoze
Suleiman Abdulhakeem
Bushrah Baba Abdulrahman
A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
Journal of Techniques
Rubber Composite Sleeper
Deformation
Response Surface Methodology
Machine Learning
Temperature-Distribution
title A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
title_full A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
title_fullStr A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
title_short A Novel Rubber Composite Sleeper-Deformation-Prediction Model Based on Response Surface Method (RSM) and Machine Learning (ML) Techniques
title_sort novel rubber composite sleeper deformation prediction model based on response surface method rsm and machine learning ml techniques
topic Rubber Composite Sleeper
Deformation
Response Surface Methodology
Machine Learning
Temperature-Distribution
url https://journal.mtu.edu.iq/index.php/MTU/article/view/2609
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