Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources

Access to solar energy is a prerequisite to remedy CO2 and improve the standard of human living. Green solar energy is only an immediate solution to add its zero emission profile and provide carbon footprint reduction benefits. This energy does not emit greenhouse gases which means it is a renewable...

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Main Authors: Irfan Jamil, Jinquan Zhao, Li Zhang, Syed Furqan Rafique, Rehan Jamil
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:International Journal of Photoenergy
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1056735
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author Irfan Jamil
Jinquan Zhao
Li Zhang
Syed Furqan Rafique
Rehan Jamil
author_facet Irfan Jamil
Jinquan Zhao
Li Zhang
Syed Furqan Rafique
Rehan Jamil
author_sort Irfan Jamil
collection DOAJ
description Access to solar energy is a prerequisite to remedy CO2 and improve the standard of human living. Green solar energy is only an immediate solution to add its zero emission profile and provide carbon footprint reduction benefits. This energy does not emit greenhouse gases which means it is a renewable free source of energy when producing electricity. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the accurate annul energy production data reducing uncertainty in solar energy estimates. This work investigated the solar energy assessment taking into account a detailed solar resource and energy production assessment for a 3 × 50 MW PV project with uncertainty analysis. The authors defined a total uncertainty of energy production which is estimated at 9.5% for one year and 8.9% for ten years as well as future variability of 3.4% for one year and 1.1% for ten years. The annual power degradation and expected energy production over the plant lifespan at dissimilar 99%, 90%, 75%, 60%, 50%, and 25% probability of surplus are also observed in this paper.
format Article
id doaj-art-906ddd11af6349bbbe4846c5da664ca2
institution Kabale University
issn 1110-662X
1687-529X
language English
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series International Journal of Photoenergy
spelling doaj-art-906ddd11af6349bbbe4846c5da664ca22025-02-03T05:50:22ZengWileyInternational Journal of Photoenergy1110-662X1687-529X2019-01-01201910.1155/2019/10567351056735Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar ResourcesIrfan Jamil0Jinquan Zhao1Li Zhang2Syed Furqan Rafique3Rehan Jamil4College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaPV Overseas Management Center, GCL New Energy, Suzhou, ChinaSolar/Wind International Business Department, TBEA Xinjiang Sunoasis Co. Ltd., Urumqi, ChinaAccess to solar energy is a prerequisite to remedy CO2 and improve the standard of human living. Green solar energy is only an immediate solution to add its zero emission profile and provide carbon footprint reduction benefits. This energy does not emit greenhouse gases which means it is a renewable free source of energy when producing electricity. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the accurate annul energy production data reducing uncertainty in solar energy estimates. This work investigated the solar energy assessment taking into account a detailed solar resource and energy production assessment for a 3 × 50 MW PV project with uncertainty analysis. The authors defined a total uncertainty of energy production which is estimated at 9.5% for one year and 8.9% for ten years as well as future variability of 3.4% for one year and 1.1% for ten years. The annual power degradation and expected energy production over the plant lifespan at dissimilar 99%, 90%, 75%, 60%, 50%, and 25% probability of surplus are also observed in this paper.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1056735
spellingShingle Irfan Jamil
Jinquan Zhao
Li Zhang
Syed Furqan Rafique
Rehan Jamil
Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
International Journal of Photoenergy
title Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
title_full Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
title_fullStr Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
title_short Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources
title_sort uncertainty analysis of energy production for a 3 50 mw ac photovoltaic project based on solar resources
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1056735
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AT lizhang uncertaintyanalysisofenergyproductionfora350mwacphotovoltaicprojectbasedonsolarresources
AT syedfurqanrafique uncertaintyanalysisofenergyproductionfora350mwacphotovoltaicprojectbasedonsolarresources
AT rehanjamil uncertaintyanalysisofenergyproductionfora350mwacphotovoltaicprojectbasedonsolarresources