Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate

The mobile networks have increasingly facilitated our daily life but are also breeding grounds for malicious worms, which are considered as the main threat to cyber security. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the dynamics of worm propagation and to control the worm epidemic based on mobile-pho...

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Main Authors: Rui Hu, Qingwu Gao, Bairong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637263
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author Rui Hu
Qingwu Gao
Bairong Wang
author_facet Rui Hu
Qingwu Gao
Bairong Wang
author_sort Rui Hu
collection DOAJ
description The mobile networks have increasingly facilitated our daily life but are also breeding grounds for malicious worms, which are considered as the main threat to cyber security. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the dynamics of worm propagation and to control the worm epidemic based on mobile-phone networks. Accordingly, we establish an SEIQR-type model to explore the worm epidemic with saturated incidence rate. This paper shows that if the basic reproduction number is less than 1, the worm-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable, and the epidemic of worm will eventually disappear and remain under control; in addition, if the basic reproduction number is greater than 1, the asymptotical stability of worm-existence equilibrium is derived to imply that the epidemic will remain persistent and uncontrollable. Our results give new insights to mobile network security, namely, that is predicting the worm spreading tendency, identifying the epidemic control strategies, and estimating the worm popularity level. Numerical experiments are conducted to show the rationality of our obtained results and the effectiveness of the control strategies.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-8de3c960106440d18bf1b53e048bddb72025-02-03T05:49:18ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66372636637263Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence RateRui Hu0Qingwu Gao1Bairong Wang2Department of Applied Mathematics, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, ChinaDepartment of Financial Mathematics, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, ChinaThe mobile networks have increasingly facilitated our daily life but are also breeding grounds for malicious worms, which are considered as the main threat to cyber security. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the dynamics of worm propagation and to control the worm epidemic based on mobile-phone networks. Accordingly, we establish an SEIQR-type model to explore the worm epidemic with saturated incidence rate. This paper shows that if the basic reproduction number is less than 1, the worm-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable, and the epidemic of worm will eventually disappear and remain under control; in addition, if the basic reproduction number is greater than 1, the asymptotical stability of worm-existence equilibrium is derived to imply that the epidemic will remain persistent and uncontrollable. Our results give new insights to mobile network security, namely, that is predicting the worm spreading tendency, identifying the epidemic control strategies, and estimating the worm popularity level. Numerical experiments are conducted to show the rationality of our obtained results and the effectiveness of the control strategies.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637263
spellingShingle Rui Hu
Qingwu Gao
Bairong Wang
Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
title_full Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
title_fullStr Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
title_short Dynamics and Control of Worm Epidemic Based on Mobile Networks by SEIQR-Type Model with Saturated Incidence Rate
title_sort dynamics and control of worm epidemic based on mobile networks by seiqr type model with saturated incidence rate
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637263
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AT bairongwang dynamicsandcontrolofwormepidemicbasedonmobilenetworksbyseiqrtypemodelwithsaturatedincidencerate