Homemade Inflation Risks

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic massively interrupted economic activity all over the world. Governments responded by running huge fiscal deficits (financed via central banks) to support firms and consumers, thereby injecting purchasing power into the private sector on a large scale. With no correspon...

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Main Author: Stefan Kooths
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-06-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3210-8
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author Stefan Kooths
author_facet Stefan Kooths
author_sort Stefan Kooths
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic massively interrupted economic activity all over the world. Governments responded by running huge fiscal deficits (financed via central banks) to support firms and consumers, thereby injecting purchasing power into the private sector on a large scale. With no corresponding production of goods and services, these phantom incomes are by their very nature inflationary. This explains the root cause of the post-pandemic price pressure. New fiscal programs created to compensate resulting losses of purchasing power only prolong the inflationary phase. Anchored inflation expectations are key to keeping the inflation process temporary. While this clearly falls under the responsibility of the monetary authorities, fiscal policymakers should support central banks by quickly ending the crisis mode. This is particularly important for the euro area where the problem of fiscal dominance would otherwise continue to increase.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1613-978X
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publishDate 2022-06-01
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-895f56ee51744b1ab98c0febcc8f06772025-02-03T01:13:50ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-06-01102643443710.1007/s10273-022-3210-8Homemade Inflation RisksStefan Kooths0Leiter Prognosezentrum, Institut für WeltwirtschaftAbstract The COVID-19 pandemic massively interrupted economic activity all over the world. Governments responded by running huge fiscal deficits (financed via central banks) to support firms and consumers, thereby injecting purchasing power into the private sector on a large scale. With no corresponding production of goods and services, these phantom incomes are by their very nature inflationary. This explains the root cause of the post-pandemic price pressure. New fiscal programs created to compensate resulting losses of purchasing power only prolong the inflationary phase. Anchored inflation expectations are key to keeping the inflation process temporary. While this clearly falls under the responsibility of the monetary authorities, fiscal policymakers should support central banks by quickly ending the crisis mode. This is particularly important for the euro area where the problem of fiscal dominance would otherwise continue to increase.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3210-8
spellingShingle Stefan Kooths
Homemade Inflation Risks
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Homemade Inflation Risks
title_full Homemade Inflation Risks
title_fullStr Homemade Inflation Risks
title_full_unstemmed Homemade Inflation Risks
title_short Homemade Inflation Risks
title_sort homemade inflation risks
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3210-8
work_keys_str_mv AT stefankooths homemadeinflationrisks