To What Extent Does Discounting ‘Hot’ Climate Models Improve the Predictive Skill of Climate Model Ensembles?

Abstract It depends. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Assessment Report Six (AR6) took a step toward ending so‐called ‘model democracy’ by discounting climate models that are too warm over the historical period (i.e., models that ‘run hot’) when making projections of globa...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Abigail McDonnell, Adam Michael Bauer, Cristian Proistosescu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-10-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004844
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