Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?

Politicians and scholars generally agree that the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union (‘Brexit’) is a unique phenomenon caused by a specific combination of domestic political, economic and social factors, which cannot recur in any other EU country, at least in the foreseeable future. The paper c...

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Main Author: R. I. Blagoveshchenskii
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Moscow University Press 2023-03-01
Series:Вестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика
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Online Access:https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/158
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author R. I. Blagoveshchenskii
author_facet R. I. Blagoveshchenskii
author_sort R. I. Blagoveshchenskii
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description Politicians and scholars generally agree that the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union (‘Brexit’) is a unique phenomenon caused by a specific combination of domestic political, economic and social factors, which cannot recur in any other EU country, at least in the foreseeable future. The paper challenges these assumptions by advancing two hypotheses. Firstly, the author argues that Eurosceptic sentiments are almost as common in France as they once were in the UK, and, secondly, that it exactly in France where the next referendum on membership in the European Union could take place. In order to support these hypotheses, in the first section the author examines the main causes and the background of Brexit. The author identifies four key factors: 1) growing discontent of the local population with social and economic issues, which the supporters of Brexit ascribed to the inflow of cheap labor from Eastern Europe; 2) concerns about the possibility of losing national sovereignty as the power of EU supranational bodies increases; 3) support for Brexit on the part of certain political elites; 4) post-imperial syndrome. The second section shows that similar objective trends and public sentiments are developing in France, although can take different forms. As in the UK, certain segments of the French population show growing concern about the prospect of losing national sovereignty given the country’s declining influence within the EU, and call to curb immigration (mainly from North Africa). Additionally, what makes France’s case really unique is that both rightand left-wing eurosceptics are consistently strengthening their influence in the Fifth Republic. All this imposes greater demands on the current president-euroenthusiast E. Macron: his failure may provoke a systemic crisis within the EU, which it might not endure.
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spelling doaj-art-861a63fd45614a7aa23e47ac4bcabc742025-02-02T11:10:32ZengMoscow University PressВестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика2076-74042023-03-011449812410.48015/2076-7404-2022-14-4-98-124147Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?R. I. Blagoveshchenskii0Saint Petersburg State UniversityPoliticians and scholars generally agree that the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union (‘Brexit’) is a unique phenomenon caused by a specific combination of domestic political, economic and social factors, which cannot recur in any other EU country, at least in the foreseeable future. The paper challenges these assumptions by advancing two hypotheses. Firstly, the author argues that Eurosceptic sentiments are almost as common in France as they once were in the UK, and, secondly, that it exactly in France where the next referendum on membership in the European Union could take place. In order to support these hypotheses, in the first section the author examines the main causes and the background of Brexit. The author identifies four key factors: 1) growing discontent of the local population with social and economic issues, which the supporters of Brexit ascribed to the inflow of cheap labor from Eastern Europe; 2) concerns about the possibility of losing national sovereignty as the power of EU supranational bodies increases; 3) support for Brexit on the part of certain political elites; 4) post-imperial syndrome. The second section shows that similar objective trends and public sentiments are developing in France, although can take different forms. As in the UK, certain segments of the French population show growing concern about the prospect of losing national sovereignty given the country’s declining influence within the EU, and call to curb immigration (mainly from North Africa). Additionally, what makes France’s case really unique is that both rightand left-wing eurosceptics are consistently strengthening their influence in the Fifth Republic. All this imposes greater demands on the current president-euroenthusiast E. Macron: his failure may provoke a systemic crisis within the EU, which it might not endure.https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/158franceeuroscepticismnational frontnational rallyle penrepublicansmelenchon2022 electionseuropean unioneuropean integrationmacronbrexitimmigration
spellingShingle R. I. Blagoveshchenskii
Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
Вестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика
france
euroscepticism
national front
national rally
le pen
republicans
melenchon
2022 elections
european union
european integration
macron
brexit
immigration
title Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
title_full Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
title_fullStr Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
title_full_unstemmed Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
title_short Brexit: Could France Follow the Lead?
title_sort brexit could france follow the lead
topic france
euroscepticism
national front
national rally
le pen
republicans
melenchon
2022 elections
european union
european integration
macron
brexit
immigration
url https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/158
work_keys_str_mv AT riblagoveshchenskii brexitcouldfrancefollowthelead