Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials

Background:. The reverse fragility index (RFI) is a measure used to evaluate the neutrality of statistically nonsignificant findings in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The RFI represents the minimum number of events needed to reverse a statistically nonsignificant result into a significant one....

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Main Authors: Rodney Ahdoot, BS, Trista M. Benítez, MPH, Chien-Wei Wang, MD, Kevin C. Chung, MD, MS
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer 2025-01-01
Series:Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Global Open
Online Access:http://journals.lww.com/prsgo/fulltext/10.1097/GOX.0000000000006456
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author Rodney Ahdoot, BS
Trista M. Benítez, MPH
Chien-Wei Wang, MD
Kevin C. Chung, MD, MS
author_facet Rodney Ahdoot, BS
Trista M. Benítez, MPH
Chien-Wei Wang, MD
Kevin C. Chung, MD, MS
author_sort Rodney Ahdoot, BS
collection DOAJ
description Background:. The reverse fragility index (RFI) is a measure used to evaluate the neutrality of statistically nonsignificant findings in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The RFI represents the minimum number of events needed to reverse a statistically nonsignificant result into a significant one. This study applied the RFI to examine the robustness of statistically nonsignificant RCTs in plastic surgery. Methods:. A systematic literature search of the 10 highest impact journals covering plastic and reconstructive surgery topics was conducted to identify RCTs published between January 2000 and March 2023. The Fisher exact test was used to calculate the RFI for each primary outcome. Bivariate analysis was performed to investigate the association of trial characteristics with the RFI. Results:. Forty RCTs that yielded 65 primary outcomes were included in the analysis with a median sample size of 76 participants (interquartile range [IQR], 49–129) and a median of 10 events (IQR, 3–22). The median RFI was 4 (IQR, 3–5), indicating that statistical significance would have been achieved if 4 participants had a change in event status. The median RFQ was 0.053 (IQR, 0.038–0.08). Most studies (21 of 40) did not perform statistical power analysis. Twelve of 40 RCTs did not report or clearly indicate loss to follow-up. Conclusions:. The findings of RCTs in the plastic surgery literature demonstrate fragility as the preservation of nonsignificant results rested on a small number of events. The RFI is a useful measure to complement the P value and examine the neutrality of null clinical trials.
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spelling doaj-art-77e2892b08d046afaa743e2504822cc52025-01-24T09:19:58ZengWolters KluwerPlastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Global Open2169-75742025-01-01131e645610.1097/GOX.0000000000006456202501000-00057Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled TrialsRodney Ahdoot, BS0Trista M. Benítez, MPH1Chien-Wei Wang, MD2Kevin C. Chung, MD, MS3From the * University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MIFrom the * University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI† Section of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI.† Section of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI.Background:. The reverse fragility index (RFI) is a measure used to evaluate the neutrality of statistically nonsignificant findings in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The RFI represents the minimum number of events needed to reverse a statistically nonsignificant result into a significant one. This study applied the RFI to examine the robustness of statistically nonsignificant RCTs in plastic surgery. Methods:. A systematic literature search of the 10 highest impact journals covering plastic and reconstructive surgery topics was conducted to identify RCTs published between January 2000 and March 2023. The Fisher exact test was used to calculate the RFI for each primary outcome. Bivariate analysis was performed to investigate the association of trial characteristics with the RFI. Results:. Forty RCTs that yielded 65 primary outcomes were included in the analysis with a median sample size of 76 participants (interquartile range [IQR], 49–129) and a median of 10 events (IQR, 3–22). The median RFI was 4 (IQR, 3–5), indicating that statistical significance would have been achieved if 4 participants had a change in event status. The median RFQ was 0.053 (IQR, 0.038–0.08). Most studies (21 of 40) did not perform statistical power analysis. Twelve of 40 RCTs did not report or clearly indicate loss to follow-up. Conclusions:. The findings of RCTs in the plastic surgery literature demonstrate fragility as the preservation of nonsignificant results rested on a small number of events. The RFI is a useful measure to complement the P value and examine the neutrality of null clinical trials.http://journals.lww.com/prsgo/fulltext/10.1097/GOX.0000000000006456
spellingShingle Rodney Ahdoot, BS
Trista M. Benítez, MPH
Chien-Wei Wang, MD
Kevin C. Chung, MD, MS
Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Global Open
title Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
title_full Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
title_fullStr Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
title_full_unstemmed Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
title_short Reverse Fragility Index in Plastic Surgery Randomized Controlled Trials
title_sort reverse fragility index in plastic surgery randomized controlled trials
url http://journals.lww.com/prsgo/fulltext/10.1097/GOX.0000000000006456
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