Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction

Existing models for predicting the international roughness index (IRI) of a road surface often lack adaptability, struggling to accurately reflect variations in climate, traffic, and pavement distresses—factors critical for effective and sustainable maintenance. This study presents a novel dual-mode...

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Main Authors: Noelia Molinero-Pérez, Laura Montalbán-Domingo, Amalia Sanz-Benlloch, Tatiana García-Segura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Infrastructures
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2412-3811/10/1/23
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author Noelia Molinero-Pérez
Laura Montalbán-Domingo
Amalia Sanz-Benlloch
Tatiana García-Segura
author_facet Noelia Molinero-Pérez
Laura Montalbán-Domingo
Amalia Sanz-Benlloch
Tatiana García-Segura
author_sort Noelia Molinero-Pérez
collection DOAJ
description Existing models for predicting the international roughness index (IRI) of a road surface often lack adaptability, struggling to accurately reflect variations in climate, traffic, and pavement distresses—factors critical for effective and sustainable maintenance. This study presents a novel dual-model approach that integrates pavement condition index (PCI), pavement distress types, climatic, and traffic data to improve IRI prediction. Using data from the Long-Term Pavement Performance database, a dual-model approach was developed: pavements were classified into groups based on key factors, and tailored regression models were subsequently applied within each group. The model exhibits good predictive accuracy, with <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values of 0.62, 0.72, and 0.82 for the individual groups. Furthermore, the validation results (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.89) confirm that the combination of logistic regression and linear regression enhances the precision of IRI value predictions. This approach enhances adaptability and practicality, offering a versatile tool for estimating IRI under diverse conditions. The proposed methodology has the potential to support more effective, data-driven decisions in pavement maintenance, fostering sustainability and cost efficiency.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2412-3811
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
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series Infrastructures
spelling doaj-art-76d7163437f74edba32e1cf5839ffde32025-01-24T13:35:26ZengMDPI AGInfrastructures2412-38112025-01-011012310.3390/infrastructures10010023Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and PredictionNoelia Molinero-Pérez0Laura Montalbán-Domingo1Amalia Sanz-Benlloch2Tatiana García-Segura3Construction Project Management Research Group, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainConstruction Project Management Research Group, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainConstruction Project Management Research Group, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainConstruction Project Management Research Group, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainExisting models for predicting the international roughness index (IRI) of a road surface often lack adaptability, struggling to accurately reflect variations in climate, traffic, and pavement distresses—factors critical for effective and sustainable maintenance. This study presents a novel dual-model approach that integrates pavement condition index (PCI), pavement distress types, climatic, and traffic data to improve IRI prediction. Using data from the Long-Term Pavement Performance database, a dual-model approach was developed: pavements were classified into groups based on key factors, and tailored regression models were subsequently applied within each group. The model exhibits good predictive accuracy, with <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values of 0.62, 0.72, and 0.82 for the individual groups. Furthermore, the validation results (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.89) confirm that the combination of logistic regression and linear regression enhances the precision of IRI value predictions. This approach enhances adaptability and practicality, offering a versatile tool for estimating IRI under diverse conditions. The proposed methodology has the potential to support more effective, data-driven decisions in pavement maintenance, fostering sustainability and cost efficiency.https://www.mdpi.com/2412-3811/10/1/23international roughness indexpavement condition indexpavement distressclassification modelprediction model
spellingShingle Noelia Molinero-Pérez
Laura Montalbán-Domingo
Amalia Sanz-Benlloch
Tatiana García-Segura
Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
Infrastructures
international roughness index
pavement condition index
pavement distress
classification model
prediction model
title Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
title_full Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
title_fullStr Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
title_short Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
title_sort dual model for international roughness index classification and prediction
topic international roughness index
pavement condition index
pavement distress
classification model
prediction model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2412-3811/10/1/23
work_keys_str_mv AT noeliamolineroperez dualmodelforinternationalroughnessindexclassificationandprediction
AT lauramontalbandomingo dualmodelforinternationalroughnessindexclassificationandprediction
AT amaliasanzbenlloch dualmodelforinternationalroughnessindexclassificationandprediction
AT tatianagarciasegura dualmodelforinternationalroughnessindexclassificationandprediction