Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach

Smoking is responsible for ninety percent of all premature deaths worldwide. Its prevalence is increasing in developing countries such as Bangladesh. Road traffic accidents (RTAs) have risen dramatically in recent years, with tobacco use accounting for 4–5 million fatalities each year. This trend wi...

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Main Authors: Md. Anwar Uddin, Mithun Debnath, Sumit Roy, Saima Adiba, Mohammad Mahbub Alam Talukder
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Advances in Civil Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7116057
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author Md. Anwar Uddin
Mithun Debnath
Sumit Roy
Saima Adiba
Mohammad Mahbub Alam Talukder
author_facet Md. Anwar Uddin
Mithun Debnath
Sumit Roy
Saima Adiba
Mohammad Mahbub Alam Talukder
author_sort Md. Anwar Uddin
collection DOAJ
description Smoking is responsible for ninety percent of all premature deaths worldwide. Its prevalence is increasing in developing countries such as Bangladesh. Road traffic accidents (RTAs) have risen dramatically in recent years, with tobacco use accounting for 4–5 million fatalities each year. This trend will likely continue as more bus and truck drivers smoke in Bangladesh. Therefore, our study attempts to identify predictors that may be directly related to the frequency of RTAs and smoking. The study included 424 bus and truck drivers and ten key informant interviews (KIIs). Then, a linear regression (LR) analysis model was used to determine how various smoking-related predictors contribute to the frequency of accidents. Furthermore, a binary logistic regression (BLR) model was used to examine the likelihood of a driver being involved in an accident related to various smoking-related predictors. This study demonstrates a strong association between the incidence of accidents and the number of times a person smokes, smokes while driving, and uses smokeless tobacco (SLT) daily. The result has been taken from the second BLR model, which fits with the data more than the LR model. According to that model, a driver is more likely to be in an accident if the number of days per year that he smokes cigarettes increases and if he smokes while driving. Additionally, it stresses the need for more research to make a more accurate forecast.
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spelling doaj-art-746a2e0c92e04d12a55e5da20cf07ac22025-02-03T06:08:46ZengWileyAdvances in Civil Engineering1687-80942023-01-01202310.1155/2023/7116057Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based ApproachMd. Anwar Uddin0Mithun Debnath1Sumit Roy2Saima Adiba3Mohammad Mahbub Alam Talukder4Department of Civil EngineeringDepartment of Civil EngineeringDepartment of Civil EngineeringDepartment of Civil EngineeringAccident Research Institute (ARI)Smoking is responsible for ninety percent of all premature deaths worldwide. Its prevalence is increasing in developing countries such as Bangladesh. Road traffic accidents (RTAs) have risen dramatically in recent years, with tobacco use accounting for 4–5 million fatalities each year. This trend will likely continue as more bus and truck drivers smoke in Bangladesh. Therefore, our study attempts to identify predictors that may be directly related to the frequency of RTAs and smoking. The study included 424 bus and truck drivers and ten key informant interviews (KIIs). Then, a linear regression (LR) analysis model was used to determine how various smoking-related predictors contribute to the frequency of accidents. Furthermore, a binary logistic regression (BLR) model was used to examine the likelihood of a driver being involved in an accident related to various smoking-related predictors. This study demonstrates a strong association between the incidence of accidents and the number of times a person smokes, smokes while driving, and uses smokeless tobacco (SLT) daily. The result has been taken from the second BLR model, which fits with the data more than the LR model. According to that model, a driver is more likely to be in an accident if the number of days per year that he smokes cigarettes increases and if he smokes while driving. Additionally, it stresses the need for more research to make a more accurate forecast.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7116057
spellingShingle Md. Anwar Uddin
Mithun Debnath
Sumit Roy
Saima Adiba
Mohammad Mahbub Alam Talukder
Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
Advances in Civil Engineering
title Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
title_full Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
title_fullStr Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
title_full_unstemmed Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
title_short Identifying the Smoking and Smokeless Tobacco-Related Predictors on Frequencies of Heavy Vehicle Traffic Accidents in Bangladesh: Linear and Binary Logistic Regression-Based Approach
title_sort identifying the smoking and smokeless tobacco related predictors on frequencies of heavy vehicle traffic accidents in bangladesh linear and binary logistic regression based approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7116057
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