Predictability of Extreme Waves in the Lorenz-96 Model Near Intermittency and Quasi-Periodicity

We introduce a method for quantifying the predictability of the event that the evolution of a deterministic dynamical system enters a specific subset of state space at a given lead time. The main idea is to study the distribution of finite-time growth rates of errors in initial conditions along the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: A. E. Sterk, D. L. van Kekem
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/9419024
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