Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach

This paper analyses the US dollar exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Ghana from January 1990 to January 2020 using the empirical mode decomposition-based nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags model (EMD-NARDL). This model eliminates the noise component of the underlying data and ca...

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Main Authors: Camara K. Obeng, Siaw Frimpong, Gilbert K. Amoako, Samuel K. Agyei, Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei, Anokye M. Adam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9075263
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author Camara K. Obeng
Siaw Frimpong
Gilbert K. Amoako
Samuel K. Agyei
Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei
Anokye M. Adam
author_facet Camara K. Obeng
Siaw Frimpong
Gilbert K. Amoako
Samuel K. Agyei
Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei
Anokye M. Adam
author_sort Camara K. Obeng
collection DOAJ
description This paper analyses the US dollar exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Ghana from January 1990 to January 2020 using the empirical mode decomposition-based nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags model (EMD-NARDL). This model eliminates the noise component of the underlying data and captures the short- and long-run nonlinearities. We find evidence of cointegration between denoised series of consumer prices and exchange rate and asymmetric pass-through in both the short- and long-run. Specifically, exchange rate pass-through was found to be in the long-run incomplete in the period of depreciation and statistically zero pass-through in the period of appreciation. In the short-run, the exchange rate pass-through in periods of depreciation is near complete; that is, 81% against 74% in periods of appreciation. We recommend that monetary authorities consistently monitor exchange rate behaviour and maintain efficient exchange rate management policies to ensure stable consumer prices. This could be achieved through proper and timely policy interventions using the available monetary policy tools such as foreign exchange reserves.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2314-4785
language English
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-5ed854bd977d4997b8ba12f049b932bb2025-02-03T06:04:53ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852022-01-01202210.1155/2022/9075263Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL ApproachCamara K. Obeng0Siaw Frimpong1Gilbert K. Amoako2Samuel K. Agyei3Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei4Anokye M. Adam5Department of Economic StudiesDepartment of FinanceDepartment of Accountancy and Accounting Information SystemDepartment of FinanceDepartment of FinanceDepartment of FinanceThis paper analyses the US dollar exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in Ghana from January 1990 to January 2020 using the empirical mode decomposition-based nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags model (EMD-NARDL). This model eliminates the noise component of the underlying data and captures the short- and long-run nonlinearities. We find evidence of cointegration between denoised series of consumer prices and exchange rate and asymmetric pass-through in both the short- and long-run. Specifically, exchange rate pass-through was found to be in the long-run incomplete in the period of depreciation and statistically zero pass-through in the period of appreciation. In the short-run, the exchange rate pass-through in periods of depreciation is near complete; that is, 81% against 74% in periods of appreciation. We recommend that monetary authorities consistently monitor exchange rate behaviour and maintain efficient exchange rate management policies to ensure stable consumer prices. This could be achieved through proper and timely policy interventions using the available monetary policy tools such as foreign exchange reserves.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9075263
spellingShingle Camara K. Obeng
Siaw Frimpong
Gilbert K. Amoako
Samuel K. Agyei
Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei
Anokye M. Adam
Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
Journal of Mathematics
title Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
title_full Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
title_fullStr Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
title_short Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Ghana: Evidence from EMD-NARDL Approach
title_sort asymmetric exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in ghana evidence from emd nardl approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9075263
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