Understanding spring forecast El Niño false alarms in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble

Abstract El Niño is responsible for the largest part of the seasonal-to-interannual climate variability, so forecasting El Niño events correctly is important. However, forecasting El Niño events during boreal spring remains challenging. The dynamical seasonal forecast models of the North American Mu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aaron FZ Levine, Michelle L’Heureux, Caihong Wen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-03-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-00956-7
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