Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling

The convenience of transportation brings the diversity of individuals’ travelling modes; in this paper, we present an improved epidemic diffusion model in a multilayer metapopulation network. Firstly, we construct the metapopulation network with different travelling ways, and then, the epidemic spre...

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Main Authors: Dun Han, Qi Shao, Dandan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/6782018
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author Dun Han
Qi Shao
Dandan Li
author_facet Dun Han
Qi Shao
Dandan Li
author_sort Dun Han
collection DOAJ
description The convenience of transportation brings the diversity of individuals’ travelling modes; in this paper, we present an improved epidemic diffusion model in a multilayer metapopulation network. Firstly, we construct the metapopulation network with different travelling ways, and then, the epidemic spreading threshold is calculated by means of the mean-field method. Taking the periodicity of individuals’ travelling into account, we further explore the epidemic diffusion model with individuals’ periodic travelling and deduce the epidemic spreading threshold using the Perron–Frobenius theorem. Our results show that if all individuals in each area decide to move, the epidemic threshold can be effectively raised while each individual chooses an unbiased region to arrive. In addition, with the increase of individuals’ mobility rate or regional heterogeneous infection coefficient, the fluctuation range of the density of infected becomes larger, while the fluctuation period is almost unchanged. However, the change of individuals’ periodic motion could cause the change of the fluctuation period of infected density. We try to provide a new perspective for the research of metapopulation.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
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publishDate 2020-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-5a67cd0a2d484f60b5a4fc712df1b7962025-02-03T01:04:14ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/67820186782018Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic TravellingDun Han0Qi Shao1Dandan Li2Faculty of Science, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, ChinaFaculty of Science, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, ChinaSchool of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, ChinaThe convenience of transportation brings the diversity of individuals’ travelling modes; in this paper, we present an improved epidemic diffusion model in a multilayer metapopulation network. Firstly, we construct the metapopulation network with different travelling ways, and then, the epidemic spreading threshold is calculated by means of the mean-field method. Taking the periodicity of individuals’ travelling into account, we further explore the epidemic diffusion model with individuals’ periodic travelling and deduce the epidemic spreading threshold using the Perron–Frobenius theorem. Our results show that if all individuals in each area decide to move, the epidemic threshold can be effectively raised while each individual chooses an unbiased region to arrive. In addition, with the increase of individuals’ mobility rate or regional heterogeneous infection coefficient, the fluctuation range of the density of infected becomes larger, while the fluctuation period is almost unchanged. However, the change of individuals’ periodic motion could cause the change of the fluctuation period of infected density. We try to provide a new perspective for the research of metapopulation.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/6782018
spellingShingle Dun Han
Qi Shao
Dandan Li
Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
Complexity
title Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
title_full Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
title_fullStr Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
title_short Exploring the Epidemic Spreading in a Multilayer Metapopulation Network by considering Individuals’ Periodic Travelling
title_sort exploring the epidemic spreading in a multilayer metapopulation network by considering individuals periodic travelling
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/6782018
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AT dandanli exploringtheepidemicspreadinginamultilayermetapopulationnetworkbyconsideringindividualsperiodictravelling