Forecasting the Probability of Large Rates of Change of the Geomagnetic Field in the UK: Timescales, Horizons, and Thresholds

Forecasting the Probability of Large Rates of Change of the Geomagnetic Field in the UK: Timescales, Horizons, and Thresholds

Abstract Large geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) pose a risk to ground based infrastructure such as power networks. Large GICs may be induced when the rate of change of the ground magnetic field is significantly elevated. We assess the ability of three different machine learning model architec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: A. W. Smith, C. Forsyth, I. J. Rae, T. M. Garton, T. Bloch, C. M. Jackman, M. Bakrania
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-09-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
GICs
space weather
forecasting
machine learning
neural networks
model validation
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002788
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002788

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