Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China

The impact of global warming on the cropping system (CS) has been increasingly emphasized, and it is essential to analyze the changing pattern of the CS and the impact of agricultural water consumption (AWC) for timely adjustment of the crop and water management. This study analyzed the spatial-temp...

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Main Authors: Linghui Li, Qingming Wang, Yong Zhao, Jiaqi Zhai, Haihong Li, Shuying Han, Lichuan Wang, Yunpeng Gui
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Agricultural Water Management
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425000125
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author Linghui Li
Qingming Wang
Yong Zhao
Jiaqi Zhai
Haihong Li
Shuying Han
Lichuan Wang
Yunpeng Gui
author_facet Linghui Li
Qingming Wang
Yong Zhao
Jiaqi Zhai
Haihong Li
Shuying Han
Lichuan Wang
Yunpeng Gui
author_sort Linghui Li
collection DOAJ
description The impact of global warming on the cropping system (CS) has been increasingly emphasized, and it is essential to analyze the changing pattern of the CS and the impact of agricultural water consumption (AWC) for timely adjustment of the crop and water management. This study analyzed the spatial-temporal changes of the actual and potential CS based on the remote sensing and meteorological dataset from 2001 to 2022 to explore the development potentiality of multi-cropping systems (MCS), and adapted the CS change into the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer model (DSSAT) to simulate the change of evapotranspiration. The results indicated that in the past 22 years, both of the actual and potential CS have shown a trend of transition to MCS with an area of 187.4 thousand km2 and 215.4 thousand km2. The duration of the accumulated temperature above 10°C have prolonged at a rate of 5.2 days decade–1, which shortened the length of growth season (LOS) of the single CS, double CS, triple CS and triple in two years CS by 1.2 days decade–1, 0.8 days decade–1, 2.3 days decade–1, and 0.2 days decade–1, respectively. Warming promoted the transformation to MCS with 64.25 % (35.3 %) potential of area distribution (growth period), and the region with the greatest potential was the mountainous area in the Yellow River Basin. The simulated average evapotranspiration was 491.2 mm per year with an increasing by 30.51 %, and would further increase by 57.28 % after the development of MCS.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Agricultural Water Management
spelling doaj-art-5258be8c7a7e4c6abf8e34d17744e7de2025-01-25T04:10:52ZengElsevierAgricultural Water Management1873-22832025-03-01308109298Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of ChinaLinghui Li0Qingming Wang1Yong Zhao2Jiaqi Zhai3Haihong Li4Shuying Han5Lichuan Wang6Yunpeng Gui7State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaCorrespondence to: China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, NO.1 Yuyuantan South Street, Haidian, Beijing 100038, China.; State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycles in River Basins, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaThe impact of global warming on the cropping system (CS) has been increasingly emphasized, and it is essential to analyze the changing pattern of the CS and the impact of agricultural water consumption (AWC) for timely adjustment of the crop and water management. This study analyzed the spatial-temporal changes of the actual and potential CS based on the remote sensing and meteorological dataset from 2001 to 2022 to explore the development potentiality of multi-cropping systems (MCS), and adapted the CS change into the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer model (DSSAT) to simulate the change of evapotranspiration. The results indicated that in the past 22 years, both of the actual and potential CS have shown a trend of transition to MCS with an area of 187.4 thousand km2 and 215.4 thousand km2. The duration of the accumulated temperature above 10°C have prolonged at a rate of 5.2 days decade–1, which shortened the length of growth season (LOS) of the single CS, double CS, triple CS and triple in two years CS by 1.2 days decade–1, 0.8 days decade–1, 2.3 days decade–1, and 0.2 days decade–1, respectively. Warming promoted the transformation to MCS with 64.25 % (35.3 %) potential of area distribution (growth period), and the region with the greatest potential was the mountainous area in the Yellow River Basin. The simulated average evapotranspiration was 491.2 mm per year with an increasing by 30.51 %, and would further increase by 57.28 % after the development of MCS.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425000125Global warmingCrop growth periodAgricultural development potentialEvapotranspiration simulationDSSAT model
spellingShingle Linghui Li
Qingming Wang
Yong Zhao
Jiaqi Zhai
Haihong Li
Shuying Han
Lichuan Wang
Yunpeng Gui
Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
Agricultural Water Management
Global warming
Crop growth period
Agricultural development potential
Evapotranspiration simulation
DSSAT model
title Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
title_full Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
title_fullStr Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
title_full_unstemmed Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
title_short Development potential of multi-cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the Huang–Huai–Hai River Basin of China
title_sort development potential of multi cropping systems and its influence on agricultural water consumption in the huang huai hai river basin of china
topic Global warming
Crop growth period
Agricultural development potential
Evapotranspiration simulation
DSSAT model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425000125
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