High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA

This study examines the correlation between High School Scores (HSS) and academic achievement in the ELT Department at Tishk International University, Erbil, Iraq, aiming to assess the validity of HSS as a predictor of university GPA. The study employs traditional statistical methods and advanced AI...

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Main Authors: Abdurrahman Wahab, Hemin Ibrahim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tishk International University 2024-09-01
Series:International Journal of Social Sciences & Educational Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijsses.tiu.edu.iq/index.php/ijsses/article/view/795
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author Abdurrahman Wahab
Hemin Ibrahim
author_facet Abdurrahman Wahab
Hemin Ibrahim
author_sort Abdurrahman Wahab
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the correlation between High School Scores (HSS) and academic achievement in the ELT Department at Tishk International University, Erbil, Iraq, aiming to assess the validity of HSS as a predictor of university GPA. The study employs traditional statistical methods and advanced AI-based algorithms to categorize and analyze a dataset comprising 225 students admitted between 2014 through 2019. As AI-based algorithms, Linear Regression model yielded a mean square error (MSE) of 0.2228 and R² of 0.1774, while Neural Network model produced an MSE of 0.2383 and R² of 0.1204. These results indicate a weak to moderate correlation between HSS and GPA, indicating that other factors significantly influence GPA. The study concludes that while HSS can serve as an initial indicator of potential academic success, it is not a definitive predictor, suggesting the need for a more comprehensive approach to evaluating student performance in the ELT program.
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publisher Tishk International University
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spelling doaj-art-5095f5afb7bc4a2c8e2d738a11b36c1a2025-02-06T08:18:56ZengTishk International UniversityInternational Journal of Social Sciences & Educational Studies2409-12942520-09682024-09-01114120138https://doi.org/10.23918/ijsses.v11i4p120High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPAAbdurrahman Wahab0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-0242-6709Hemin Ibrahim1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7602-6838English Language Teaching Department, Faculty of Education, Tishk International University, Erbil, IraqDepartment of Information Technology, Faculty of Science, Tishk International University, Erbil, IraqThis study examines the correlation between High School Scores (HSS) and academic achievement in the ELT Department at Tishk International University, Erbil, Iraq, aiming to assess the validity of HSS as a predictor of university GPA. The study employs traditional statistical methods and advanced AI-based algorithms to categorize and analyze a dataset comprising 225 students admitted between 2014 through 2019. As AI-based algorithms, Linear Regression model yielded a mean square error (MSE) of 0.2228 and R² of 0.1774, while Neural Network model produced an MSE of 0.2383 and R² of 0.1204. These results indicate a weak to moderate correlation between HSS and GPA, indicating that other factors significantly influence GPA. The study concludes that while HSS can serve as an initial indicator of potential academic success, it is not a definitive predictor, suggesting the need for a more comprehensive approach to evaluating student performance in the ELT program.https://ijsses.tiu.edu.iq/index.php/ijsses/article/view/795high school scorecollege admissionuniversity gpamachine learninglinear regressionneural network
spellingShingle Abdurrahman Wahab
Hemin Ibrahim
High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
International Journal of Social Sciences & Educational Studies
high school score
college admission
university gpa
machine learning
linear regression
neural network
title High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
title_full High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
title_fullStr High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
title_full_unstemmed High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
title_short High School Scores to College Performance: Exploring the Predictive Validity of Grade 12 Standardized Test Scores for University GPA
title_sort high school scores to college performance exploring the predictive validity of grade 12 standardized test scores for university gpa
topic high school score
college admission
university gpa
machine learning
linear regression
neural network
url https://ijsses.tiu.edu.iq/index.php/ijsses/article/view/795
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