Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
Study region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment l...
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Elsevier
2025-02-01
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Series: | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592 |
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author | Shu Xu Tianling Qin Xizhi Lv Jie Lu Jianming Feng Haoyue Gao Hanxiao Liu Yuhui Yang |
author_facet | Shu Xu Tianling Qin Xizhi Lv Jie Lu Jianming Feng Haoyue Gao Hanxiao Liu Yuhui Yang |
author_sort | Shu Xu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Study region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment load in the region by Structural Equation Model, and predict the future evolution trends. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, the runoff of the source region Yangtze and Yellow Rivers increased at rates of 2.56 × 108 m3/a and 5.98 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load increased at rates of 33.24 × 104t/a and 36.82 × 104t/a, respectively. Attribution analysis found precipitation has the greatest impact on runoff and sediment changes. Although snowmelt is also an important factor, its contribution is still relatively small compared to precipitation. The vegetation in the region did not significantly reduce sediment under freeze-thaw conditions. The prediction results show that the runoff and sediment load in the region will continue to increase in the future. From 2025–2098, the runoff in the source area of the Yangtze River and the source area of the Yellow River will increase at a rate of 0.21–1.11 × 108 m3/a and 0.14–0.68 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load will increase at a rate of 1.62–6.12 × 105t/a and 2.44–5.78 × 105t/a, respectively. |
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institution | Kabale University |
issn | 2214-5818 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2025-02-01 |
publisher | Elsevier |
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series | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
spelling | doaj-art-4eacaa6b1e1645b08d156f8b2a0fb8ef2025-01-22T05:42:04ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102110Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow RiversShu Xu0Tianling Qin1Xizhi Lv2Jie Lu3Jianming Feng4Haoyue Gao5Hanxiao Liu6Yuhui Yang7State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, China; Corresponding author.Henan Key Laboratory of Yellow Basin Ecological Protection and Restoration, Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaStudy region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment load in the region by Structural Equation Model, and predict the future evolution trends. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, the runoff of the source region Yangtze and Yellow Rivers increased at rates of 2.56 × 108 m3/a and 5.98 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load increased at rates of 33.24 × 104t/a and 36.82 × 104t/a, respectively. Attribution analysis found precipitation has the greatest impact on runoff and sediment changes. Although snowmelt is also an important factor, its contribution is still relatively small compared to precipitation. The vegetation in the region did not significantly reduce sediment under freeze-thaw conditions. The prediction results show that the runoff and sediment load in the region will continue to increase in the future. From 2025–2098, the runoff in the source area of the Yangtze River and the source area of the Yellow River will increase at a rate of 0.21–1.11 × 108 m3/a and 0.14–0.68 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load will increase at a rate of 1.62–6.12 × 105t/a and 2.44–5.78 × 105t/a, respectively.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow RiversRunoffSediment loadStructural equation modelAttribution analysis |
spellingShingle | Shu Xu Tianling Qin Xizhi Lv Jie Lu Jianming Feng Haoyue Gao Hanxiao Liu Yuhui Yang Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Runoff Sediment load Structural equation model Attribution analysis |
title | Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_full | Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_fullStr | Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_short | Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_sort | analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the yangtze and yellow rivers |
topic | Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Runoff Sediment load Structural equation model Attribution analysis |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592 |
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