Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers

Study region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment l...

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Main Authors: Shu Xu, Tianling Qin, Xizhi Lv, Jie Lu, Jianming Feng, Haoyue Gao, Hanxiao Liu, Yuhui Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592
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author Shu Xu
Tianling Qin
Xizhi Lv
Jie Lu
Jianming Feng
Haoyue Gao
Hanxiao Liu
Yuhui Yang
author_facet Shu Xu
Tianling Qin
Xizhi Lv
Jie Lu
Jianming Feng
Haoyue Gao
Hanxiao Liu
Yuhui Yang
author_sort Shu Xu
collection DOAJ
description Study region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment load in the region by Structural Equation Model, and predict the future evolution trends. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, the runoff of the source region Yangtze and Yellow Rivers increased at rates of 2.56 × 108 m3/a and 5.98 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load increased at rates of 33.24 × 104t/a and 36.82 × 104t/a, respectively. Attribution analysis found precipitation has the greatest impact on runoff and sediment changes. Although snowmelt is also an important factor, its contribution is still relatively small compared to precipitation. The vegetation in the region did not significantly reduce sediment under freeze-thaw conditions. The prediction results show that the runoff and sediment load in the region will continue to increase in the future. From 2025–2098, the runoff in the source area of the Yangtze River and the source area of the Yellow River will increase at a rate of 0.21–1.11 × 108 m3/a and 0.14–0.68 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load will increase at a rate of 1.62–6.12 × 105t/a and 2.44–5.78 × 105t/a, respectively.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj-art-4eacaa6b1e1645b08d156f8b2a0fb8ef2025-01-22T05:42:04ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102110Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow RiversShu Xu0Tianling Qin1Xizhi Lv2Jie Lu3Jianming Feng4Haoyue Gao5Hanxiao Liu6Yuhui Yang7State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, China; Corresponding author.Henan Key Laboratory of Yellow Basin Ecological Protection and Restoration, Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, No. 1 Fuxing Road Haidian District, Beijing 100038, ChinaStudy region: The source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Study focus: The purpose of this study is to analyze the latest evolution trends of runoff and sediment load in the source areas of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, quantitatively attribute the evolution drivers of runoff and sediment load in the region by Structural Equation Model, and predict the future evolution trends. New hydrological insights for the region: The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, the runoff of the source region Yangtze and Yellow Rivers increased at rates of 2.56 × 108 m3/a and 5.98 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load increased at rates of 33.24 × 104t/a and 36.82 × 104t/a, respectively. Attribution analysis found precipitation has the greatest impact on runoff and sediment changes. Although snowmelt is also an important factor, its contribution is still relatively small compared to precipitation. The vegetation in the region did not significantly reduce sediment under freeze-thaw conditions. The prediction results show that the runoff and sediment load in the region will continue to increase in the future. From 2025–2098, the runoff in the source area of the Yangtze River and the source area of the Yellow River will increase at a rate of 0.21–1.11 × 108 m3/a and 0.14–0.68 × 108 m3/a, and the sediment load will increase at a rate of 1.62–6.12 × 105t/a and 2.44–5.78 × 105t/a, respectively.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow RiversRunoffSediment loadStructural equation modelAttribution analysis
spellingShingle Shu Xu
Tianling Qin
Xizhi Lv
Jie Lu
Jianming Feng
Haoyue Gao
Hanxiao Liu
Yuhui Yang
Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
Runoff
Sediment load
Structural equation model
Attribution analysis
title Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
title_full Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
title_fullStr Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
title_short Analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
title_sort analysis of runoff and sediment evolution and attribution in the source regions of the yangtze and yellow rivers
topic Source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
Runoff
Sediment load
Structural equation model
Attribution analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004592
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