Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study

Climate change is a worldwide phenomenon that significantly impacts the area, production, and yield of crops. Changes in climate conditions have diverse effects on farming globally. For instance, an increase in temperature can make specific crops more vulnerable to pests. Similarly, a decrease in ra...

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Main Author: Mashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar Das
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Technoscience Publications 2024-12-01
Series:Nature Environment and Pollution Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://neptjournal.com/upload-images/(48)B-4176.pdf
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author Mashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar Das
author_facet Mashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar Das
author_sort Mashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar Das
collection DOAJ
description Climate change is a worldwide phenomenon that significantly impacts the area, production, and yield of crops. Changes in climate conditions have diverse effects on farming globally. For instance, an increase in temperature can make specific crops more vulnerable to pests. Similarly, a decrease in rainfall reduces water availability, affecting both irrigated and rainfed farming practices. This study aims to investigate climate change effects on crop area dynamics in the Cachar district of Assam, India, for a period spanning from 1981 to 2017. The time series ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model is employed to analyze the relationship between climate factors and areas under different crops. As a pre-requisite condition for ARDL, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is employed to check the order of integration of area under selected crops. The research reveals that the annual average temperature negatively affects the area dedicated to chickpeas, while annual average rainfall negatively impacts the areas allocated to rice and chickpeas. Conversely, annual average relative humidity has a significant positive impact on the area of these crops in the study region. Policymakers may consider strategies and policies for agriculture by encouraging the cultivation of crop varieties that are more resilient to climate change.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0972-6268
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language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
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series Nature Environment and Pollution Technology
spelling doaj-art-48ef5c9fa3e04b2c9d8418cab559936b2025-01-20T07:13:36ZengTechnoscience PublicationsNature Environment and Pollution Technology0972-62682395-34542024-12-012342435244010.46488/NEPT.2024.v23i04.048Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical StudyMashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar DasClimate change is a worldwide phenomenon that significantly impacts the area, production, and yield of crops. Changes in climate conditions have diverse effects on farming globally. For instance, an increase in temperature can make specific crops more vulnerable to pests. Similarly, a decrease in rainfall reduces water availability, affecting both irrigated and rainfed farming practices. This study aims to investigate climate change effects on crop area dynamics in the Cachar district of Assam, India, for a period spanning from 1981 to 2017. The time series ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model is employed to analyze the relationship between climate factors and areas under different crops. As a pre-requisite condition for ARDL, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is employed to check the order of integration of area under selected crops. The research reveals that the annual average temperature negatively affects the area dedicated to chickpeas, while annual average rainfall negatively impacts the areas allocated to rice and chickpeas. Conversely, annual average relative humidity has a significant positive impact on the area of these crops in the study region. Policymakers may consider strategies and policies for agriculture by encouraging the cultivation of crop varieties that are more resilient to climate change.https://neptjournal.com/upload-images/(48)B-4176.pdfagriculture, climate change, crop area dynamics, ardl model
spellingShingle Mashud Ahmed, Md Kamrul Islam and Samar Das
Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
Nature Environment and Pollution Technology
agriculture, climate change, crop area dynamics, ardl model
title Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
title_full Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
title_fullStr Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
title_short Climate Change Effects on Crop Area Dynamics in the Cachar District of Assam, India: An Empirical Study
title_sort climate change effects on crop area dynamics in the cachar district of assam india an empirical study
topic agriculture, climate change, crop area dynamics, ardl model
url https://neptjournal.com/upload-images/(48)B-4176.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mashudahmedmdkamrulislamandsamardas climatechangeeffectsoncropareadynamicsinthecachardistrictofassamindiaanempiricalstudy