Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction

Efficient cropping requires yield estimation for each involved crop, where data-driven models are commonly applied. In recent years, some data-driven modeling technique comparisons have been made, looking for the best model to yield prediction. However, attributes are usually selected based on exper...

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Main Authors: Alberto Gonzalez-Sanchez, Juan Frausto-Solis, Waldo Ojeda-Bustamante
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/509429
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author Alberto Gonzalez-Sanchez
Juan Frausto-Solis
Waldo Ojeda-Bustamante
author_facet Alberto Gonzalez-Sanchez
Juan Frausto-Solis
Waldo Ojeda-Bustamante
author_sort Alberto Gonzalez-Sanchez
collection DOAJ
description Efficient cropping requires yield estimation for each involved crop, where data-driven models are commonly applied. In recent years, some data-driven modeling technique comparisons have been made, looking for the best model to yield prediction. However, attributes are usually selected based on expertise assessment or in dimensionality reduction algorithms. A fairer comparison should include the best subset of features for each regression technique; an evaluation including several crops is preferred. This paper evaluates the most common data-driven modeling techniques applied to yield prediction, using a complete method to define the best attribute subset for each model. Multiple linear regression, stepwise linear regression, M5′ regression trees, and artificial neural networks (ANN) were ranked. The models were built using real data of eight crops sowed in an irrigation module of Mexico. To validate the models, three accuracy metrics were used: the root relative square error (RRSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), and correlation factor (R). The results show that ANNs are more consistent in the best attribute subset composition between the learning and the training stages, obtaining the lowest average RRSE (86.04%), lowest average RMAE (8.75%), and the highest average correlation factor (0.63).
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publishDate 2014-01-01
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series The Scientific World Journal
spelling doaj-art-41538ddf4aff4d0fa7c44b0ec681c7f42025-02-03T06:00:19ZengWileyThe Scientific World Journal2356-61401537-744X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/509429509429Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield PredictionAlberto Gonzalez-Sanchez0Juan Frausto-Solis1Waldo Ojeda-Bustamante2IMTA, Boulevard Cuauhnáhuac 8532, Colonia Progreso, 62550 Jiutepec, MOR, MexicoUPEMOR, Boulevard Cuauhnáhuac 566, Colonia Lomas del Texcal, 62550 Jiutepec, MOR, MexicoIMTA, Boulevard Cuauhnáhuac 8532, Colonia Progreso, 62550 Jiutepec, MOR, MexicoEfficient cropping requires yield estimation for each involved crop, where data-driven models are commonly applied. In recent years, some data-driven modeling technique comparisons have been made, looking for the best model to yield prediction. However, attributes are usually selected based on expertise assessment or in dimensionality reduction algorithms. A fairer comparison should include the best subset of features for each regression technique; an evaluation including several crops is preferred. This paper evaluates the most common data-driven modeling techniques applied to yield prediction, using a complete method to define the best attribute subset for each model. Multiple linear regression, stepwise linear regression, M5′ regression trees, and artificial neural networks (ANN) were ranked. The models were built using real data of eight crops sowed in an irrigation module of Mexico. To validate the models, three accuracy metrics were used: the root relative square error (RRSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), and correlation factor (R). The results show that ANNs are more consistent in the best attribute subset composition between the learning and the training stages, obtaining the lowest average RRSE (86.04%), lowest average RMAE (8.75%), and the highest average correlation factor (0.63).http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/509429
spellingShingle Alberto Gonzalez-Sanchez
Juan Frausto-Solis
Waldo Ojeda-Bustamante
Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
The Scientific World Journal
title Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
title_full Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
title_fullStr Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
title_short Attribute Selection Impact on Linear and Nonlinear Regression Models for Crop Yield Prediction
title_sort attribute selection impact on linear and nonlinear regression models for crop yield prediction
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/509429
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