Empirical prediction intervals applied to short term mortality forecasts and excess deaths
Abstract Background In the winter of 2022/2023, excess death estimates for Germany indicated a 10% elevation, which has led to questions about the significance of this increase in mortality. Given the inherent errors in demographic forecasting, the reliability of estimating a 10% deviation is questi...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
BMC
2024-12-01
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| Series: | Population Health Metrics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-024-00355-9 |
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