Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM

Abstract The restrictions of the NiGEM initial model and their relevance over the last decade and a half have produced oft-cited economic policy advice that can hardly be justified empirically: Wage increases will result in significant employment losses. But with statistically validated modification...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Thomas Theobald, Rudolf Zwiener, Camille Logeay
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2020-10-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-020-2767-3
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Abstract The restrictions of the NiGEM initial model and their relevance over the last decade and a half have produced oft-cited economic policy advice that can hardly be justified empirically: Wage increases will result in significant employment losses. But with statistically validated modifications, the results and the economic policy statements of the simulations by the German Council of Economic Experts and the Deutsche Bundesbank find that a higher wage path now stimulates domestic demand more strongly because the set employment losses do not materialise. There are no noticeable losses in growth and employment for the German economy.
ISSN:0043-6275
1613-978X