Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning

The acceleration of urbanization has induced a sharp increase in urban water consumption, so the saltwater intrusion has stronger influences on domestic, industrial, and agricultural water use in estuarine areas. To enhance the water supply security of coastal cities, it is necessary to analyze and...

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Main Authors: DU Boheng, ZHANG Jingwen, KANG Zheng, CHEN Yifan, HUANG Hanliang, LIN Kairong, XIAO Mingzhong
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2025-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=80806324&Fpath=home&index=0
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author DU Boheng
ZHANG Jingwen
KANG Zheng
CHEN Yifan
HUANG Hanliang
LIN Kairong
XIAO Mingzhong
author_facet DU Boheng
ZHANG Jingwen
KANG Zheng
CHEN Yifan
HUANG Hanliang
LIN Kairong
XIAO Mingzhong
author_sort DU Boheng
collection DOAJ
description The acceleration of urbanization has induced a sharp increase in urban water consumption, so the saltwater intrusion has stronger influences on domestic, industrial, and agricultural water use in estuarine areas. To enhance the water supply security of coastal cities, it is necessary to analyze and predict saltwater intrusion. This study aims to further investigate the influence of various factors, including estuary tide level, wind direction and speed, and upstream water flow, on the saltwater intrusion (chlorinity in the estuary) in the Pearl River estuary, providing scientific support for improving water supply security in coastal cities. The study determines the lag time of different influencing factors on saltwater intrusion through correlation coefficients and constructs prediction models for the chloride content at the estuaries of the Guangchang and Pinggang water pumping stations based on various machine learning methods to analyze the saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen waterway of the Pearl River estuary. The established models show a good performance in predicting salinity. According to the analysis of the importance of influencing factors, it is found that upstream water flow has the greatest influence on saltwater intrusion, followed by estuary tide level and wind direction and speed.
format Article
id doaj-art-24437fbc300c47cea03699a0930444b8
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-24437fbc300c47cea03699a0930444b82025-01-18T19:00:22ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352025-01-0111180806324Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine LearningDU BohengZHANG JingwenKANG ZhengCHEN YifanHUANG HanliangLIN KairongXIAO MingzhongThe acceleration of urbanization has induced a sharp increase in urban water consumption, so the saltwater intrusion has stronger influences on domestic, industrial, and agricultural water use in estuarine areas. To enhance the water supply security of coastal cities, it is necessary to analyze and predict saltwater intrusion. This study aims to further investigate the influence of various factors, including estuary tide level, wind direction and speed, and upstream water flow, on the saltwater intrusion (chlorinity in the estuary) in the Pearl River estuary, providing scientific support for improving water supply security in coastal cities. The study determines the lag time of different influencing factors on saltwater intrusion through correlation coefficients and constructs prediction models for the chloride content at the estuaries of the Guangchang and Pinggang water pumping stations based on various machine learning methods to analyze the saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen waterway of the Pearl River estuary. The established models show a good performance in predicting salinity. According to the analysis of the importance of influencing factors, it is found that upstream water flow has the greatest influence on saltwater intrusion, followed by estuary tide level and wind direction and speed.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=80806324&Fpath=home&index=0saltwater intrusionPearl River Estuarymachine learning
spellingShingle DU Boheng
ZHANG Jingwen
KANG Zheng
CHEN Yifan
HUANG Hanliang
LIN Kairong
XIAO Mingzhong
Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
Renmin Zhujiang
saltwater intrusion
Pearl River Estuary
machine learning
title Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
title_full Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
title_fullStr Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
title_full_unstemmed Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
title_short Prediction and Analysis of Saltwater Intrusion in Pearl River Estuary Based on Machine Learning
title_sort prediction and analysis of saltwater intrusion in pearl river estuary based on machine learning
topic saltwater intrusion
Pearl River Estuary
machine learning
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=80806324&Fpath=home&index=0
work_keys_str_mv AT duboheng predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT zhangjingwen predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT kangzheng predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT chenyifan predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT huanghanliang predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT linkairong predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning
AT xiaomingzhong predictionandanalysisofsaltwaterintrusioninpearlriverestuarybasedonmachinelearning