Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia

Study region: Surface water supply source of Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia, relies primarily on the small reservoirs in Gefersa and Legedadi water supply systems located upstream of Little and Big Akaki rivers. Thus, Gefersa and Legedadi are the study watersheds of this research. Study f...

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Main Authors: Yared Bayissa, Raghavan Srinivasan, Johannes Hunink, Douglas Nyolei, Semu Moges, David de Andrade Costa, Dereje Tadesse, Assefa Melesse, Seifu Tilahun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004798
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author Yared Bayissa
Raghavan Srinivasan
Johannes Hunink
Douglas Nyolei
Semu Moges
David de Andrade Costa
Dereje Tadesse
Assefa Melesse
Seifu Tilahun
author_facet Yared Bayissa
Raghavan Srinivasan
Johannes Hunink
Douglas Nyolei
Semu Moges
David de Andrade Costa
Dereje Tadesse
Assefa Melesse
Seifu Tilahun
author_sort Yared Bayissa
collection DOAJ
description Study region: Surface water supply source of Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia, relies primarily on the small reservoirs in Gefersa and Legedadi water supply systems located upstream of Little and Big Akaki rivers. Thus, Gefersa and Legedadi are the study watersheds of this research. Study focus: This study evaluates the impacts of land use and climate changes on surface water availability and the benefits of nature-based solutions (NbS) to enhance the water supply and the life of the dams in the Gefersa and Legedadi small watersheds that supply water to Addis Ababa city, Ethiopia. Several land use and climate change scenarios have been developed and integrated into baseline hydrological model to assess their impact on water balance components and sediment yield. Extreme climate change scenarios were developed using the combination of the 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles of future precipitation and temperature changes. New hydrological insights for the region: The results of the land use change analysis revealed a shift between 2012, 2022 and 2042, with a significant expansion of urban settlements and a decline in forestland and vegetation cover. Under climate change scenario, the simulations project that drier seasons become drier and wet seasons become wetter. Overall, this study highlights the potential benefits of NbS in enhancing water availability, particularly during the dry season, promoting dry season farming and increasing the water supply to meet the water demand. The approach followed in this study can be adapted to other watersheds with access to more recent and good quality datasets for future research.
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spelling doaj-art-2435fda8d7894a7e81a7499886a8c42e2025-01-22T05:42:09ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102130Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in EthiopiaYared Bayissa0Raghavan Srinivasan1Johannes Hunink2Douglas Nyolei3Semu Moges4David de Andrade Costa5Dereje Tadesse6Assefa Melesse7Seifu Tilahun8Department of Ecology and Conservation Biology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA; Corresponding author.Department of Ecology and Conservation Biology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USAWageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the NetherlandsThe Nature Conservancy, Nairobi, KenyaDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX, USADepartment of Environmental Modeling and Technology Applied to Water Resources, Instituto Federal Fluminense, Campos dos Goytacazes, RJ 28080-565, BrazilSchool of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa P.O Box 385, EthiopiaDepartment of Earth and the Environment, Florida International University, Miami, FL 33199, USAFaculty of Civil and Water Resources Engineering, Bahir Dar Institute of Technology, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia; International Water Management Institute, Accra, GhanaStudy region: Surface water supply source of Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia, relies primarily on the small reservoirs in Gefersa and Legedadi water supply systems located upstream of Little and Big Akaki rivers. Thus, Gefersa and Legedadi are the study watersheds of this research. Study focus: This study evaluates the impacts of land use and climate changes on surface water availability and the benefits of nature-based solutions (NbS) to enhance the water supply and the life of the dams in the Gefersa and Legedadi small watersheds that supply water to Addis Ababa city, Ethiopia. Several land use and climate change scenarios have been developed and integrated into baseline hydrological model to assess their impact on water balance components and sediment yield. Extreme climate change scenarios were developed using the combination of the 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles of future precipitation and temperature changes. New hydrological insights for the region: The results of the land use change analysis revealed a shift between 2012, 2022 and 2042, with a significant expansion of urban settlements and a decline in forestland and vegetation cover. Under climate change scenario, the simulations project that drier seasons become drier and wet seasons become wetter. Overall, this study highlights the potential benefits of NbS in enhancing water availability, particularly during the dry season, promoting dry season farming and increasing the water supply to meet the water demand. The approach followed in this study can be adapted to other watersheds with access to more recent and good quality datasets for future research.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004798Land use changeClimate changeNature base solutionSWATGefersa watershed and Legedadi watershed
spellingShingle Yared Bayissa
Raghavan Srinivasan
Johannes Hunink
Douglas Nyolei
Semu Moges
David de Andrade Costa
Dereje Tadesse
Assefa Melesse
Seifu Tilahun
Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Land use change
Climate change
Nature base solution
SWAT
Gefersa watershed and Legedadi watershed
title Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
title_full Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
title_fullStr Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
title_short Evaluating the potential of Nature-based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Gefersa and Legedadi watersheds in Ethiopia
title_sort evaluating the potential of nature based solutions to mitigate land use and climate change impacts on the hydrology of the gefersa and legedadi watersheds in ethiopia
topic Land use change
Climate change
Nature base solution
SWAT
Gefersa watershed and Legedadi watershed
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004798
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