Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America

Whether referendums, initiatives, and other mechanisms of direct democracy enhance representative systems is a matter of debate. Skeptics note—among other criticisms—that turnout tends to be low in referendums, often lower than in candidate elections in the same country. If citizens do not care enou...

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Main Authors: Eli Gavin Rau, Radha Sarkar, Susan C. Stokes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press
Series:Latin American Research Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1542427824000749/type/journal_article
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author Eli Gavin Rau
Radha Sarkar
Susan C. Stokes
author_facet Eli Gavin Rau
Radha Sarkar
Susan C. Stokes
author_sort Eli Gavin Rau
collection DOAJ
description Whether referendums, initiatives, and other mechanisms of direct democracy enhance representative systems is a matter of debate. Skeptics note—among other criticisms—that turnout tends to be low in referendums, often lower than in candidate elections in the same country. If citizens do not care enough to participate, how useful can these mechanisms be for improving the quality of democratic systems? We argue that low referendum turnout has as much to do with parties’ disincentives to mobilize voters as it does with voter disinterest. Prior research on political behavior in referendums has focused largely on Europe and assumes that voters view them as elections of lesser importance. By shifting focus to Latin America, we introduce more variation in the features of political parties that influence levels of turnout. We draw on cross-national evidence, qualitative research in Colombia, and quantitative analysis of municipal-level referendum voting behavior in Brazil. The key to understanding low voter turnout in these settings is the relatively weaker incentives that political parties have to turn out the vote when control over office is not at stake. We demonstrate that, in clientelistic systems, party operatives have particularly weak incentives to get their constituents out to the polls.
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spelling doaj-art-22ae12bab3a74d6596a53cf703ab523f2025-01-28T07:08:13ZengCambridge University PressLatin American Research Review1542-427812310.1017/lar.2024.74Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin AmericaEli Gavin Rau0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0947-319XRadha Sarkar1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5584-3940Susan C. Stokes2Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, US Tecnologico de Monterrey, Monterrey, Nuevo León, MexicoTecnologico de Monterrey, Mexico City, Mexico Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USUniversity of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USWhether referendums, initiatives, and other mechanisms of direct democracy enhance representative systems is a matter of debate. Skeptics note—among other criticisms—that turnout tends to be low in referendums, often lower than in candidate elections in the same country. If citizens do not care enough to participate, how useful can these mechanisms be for improving the quality of democratic systems? We argue that low referendum turnout has as much to do with parties’ disincentives to mobilize voters as it does with voter disinterest. Prior research on political behavior in referendums has focused largely on Europe and assumes that voters view them as elections of lesser importance. By shifting focus to Latin America, we introduce more variation in the features of political parties that influence levels of turnout. We draw on cross-national evidence, qualitative research in Colombia, and quantitative analysis of municipal-level referendum voting behavior in Brazil. The key to understanding low voter turnout in these settings is the relatively weaker incentives that political parties have to turn out the vote when control over office is not at stake. We demonstrate that, in clientelistic systems, party operatives have particularly weak incentives to get their constituents out to the polls.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1542427824000749/type/journal_articleturnoutdirect democracypolitical partiesclientelismparticipación políticademocracia directapartidos políticosclientelismo
spellingShingle Eli Gavin Rau
Radha Sarkar
Susan C. Stokes
Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
Latin American Research Review
turnout
direct democracy
political parties
clientelism
participación política
democracia directa
partidos políticos
clientelismo
title Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
title_full Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
title_fullStr Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
title_full_unstemmed Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
title_short Why Is Participation Low in Referendums? Lessons from Latin America
title_sort why is participation low in referendums lessons from latin america
topic turnout
direct democracy
political parties
clientelism
participación política
democracia directa
partidos políticos
clientelismo
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1542427824000749/type/journal_article
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